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Rivian首秀驚豔,專業人士怎麼看?
uSMART盈立智投 11-11 22:17

Rivian當前市值與通用汽車(GM.US)相當,超越了福特汽車(F.US)和電動汽車競爭對手Lucid Group(LCID.US)。

四位專業人士討論了Rivian的未來走勢。

風投機構 Bullpen Capital合夥人 Duncan Davidson認爲Rivian存在一個重大的不利因素。

Davidson表示:“這些公司的估值大約是銷售額的10到20倍。明年Rivian的銷售額預計將達到80億美元,所以這實際上意味着,如果他們真的開始生產,價格並沒有失衡。多年來,特斯拉(TSLA.US)一直很難擴大規模,而且他們有比Rivian多得多的時間。但我想我們很快就能解決這個問題。看看整個汽車行業。由於芯片及其他供應鏈挑戰,他們現在的生產出現了問題。”

金融平臺MarketRebellion的聯合創始人Pete Najarian則關注Rivian背後的支持者。

“我認爲真正讓我興奮的是福特投資了Rivian。我認爲很有趣的是他們決定只做投資而不使用技術。這對我來說有點奇怪。但我仍然認爲,很明顯,他們在2019年做出了一個偉大的決定。亞馬遜(AMZN.US)持有Rivian 20%的股份,他們還向Rivian訂購了10萬輛汽車。我認爲這是一個強大的後盾。我不認爲亞馬遜會放棄所持股份。”

據悉,亞馬遜向Rivian投資了超過13億美元,在IPO前持有該公司22.4%的A類股票。 在IPO之前,福特持有Rivian 14.4%的A類股票。

風險投資記者Eric Newcomer表示,Rivian仍面臨嚴峻挑戰。

Eric Newcomer表示:“這家汽車生產商承諾今年要生產1000輛,但並沒有交付很多車,營收將介於0至100萬美元之間,而季度虧損將會加速。Rivian能夠在IPO中籌集大量資金,但花費的資金也是巨大的。因此,運營這麼大規模的公司需要出色的執行力。和很多行業不一樣的是,汽車公司必須逐季交付利潤很低的產品,這需要大量卓越的運營,即使是最明智的新汽車公司,也必須隨着時間的推移學習其中的一些知識。”

期權交易公司Risk Reversal 的董事長Dan Nathan討論了估值問題。

“儘管尚未獲得實質性收入,Rivian的估值在交易中將達到1000億美元。它充分說明瞭我們所處的市場環境。如果你想一下電動汽車的總潛在市場,你可能會說,‘好吧,也許我們只是快進了一點,我們擺脫了前五年的市場’……市場起起伏伏,令人心悸。我不怪銀行家,也不怪公司。這是投資者的問題。Rivian可能跌至50美元左右。”

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