植耀輝: 保留實力輕倉上陣 中海油(00883.HK)短線值博
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,港股近期走勢似有所改善,筆者亦多次想出手增持/買入心儀股份,無奈近期不少看好股份跌至「懷疑人生」,令信心不斷受打擊,最終眼白白地看着部分股份強勁反彈。其實心儀股份本身有業績強勁,行業前景至少亦有相當保證,而且筆者亦抱長線持貨心態,以往肯定信心滿滿地二話不說「撈貨」,只是信心還是需慢慢恢復,現階段最重要可能是先重整旗鼓,以及保留實力再上陣。相比之下,筆者對美股之信心可能較大,近期亦因應季績期而稍爲調整美股組合,減持醫藥相關股並增持金融股份。本週起多隻大型科技股如Tesla(TSLA.US)及Netflix(NFLX.US)等將公佈季績,筆者亦會繼續留意,未來亦會跟大家再作分享。
另外,大家還記得月初介紹過之名畫「Love Is in the Bin」嗎?該大作於上週四(14日)再度公開拍賣,原先預估成交價將達到400萬至600萬英鎊,遠高於3年前之拍賣成交價104萬英鎊,但最終成交價(包括保險費)竟達到1,850萬英鎊,爲首次成交價約18倍!新買家據悉爲一位不願透露姓名之歐洲女性。短短三年估價竟可如此急升,實在令人咋舌!
好友A看到相關報道後便得出「投資物玩好過投資股票」的想法!其實當中涉及一點個人因素,話說好友A一直只集中投資港股,不過由於其貴人事忙,所以只會採取月供方式集中買入新經濟股。以往有建議他不如化繁爲簡買盈富基金(02800.HK)或其他ETF,不過他卻認爲「不夠型」!結果其所挑選之ATMX倒令賬面虧蝕不少。所以當他看到相關消息時,自不然產生這種想法。筆者覺得好友A有這種想法相當正常,特別是當持有股份如斯不爭氣時,那種不爽之感覺自然相當不好受。但這類高階奢侈品投資一向較少衆,其次是受近年資金氾濫所影響(當然亦可能是大師級作品有保值作用)。而更重要的是不論哪一種投資也好,最重要是「唔熟唔食」,即是要先做足功課,對該範疇領域有足夠認識,否則孰好孰壞又如何分辨?希望這番說話能令他稍爲釋懷吧!
股份方面,可繼續小注跟進油股。在需求持續上升,加上氣價上漲引發之連鎖效應支持,不少投資者皆看好油價行情,預期年內紐約期油將突破100美元一桶,明年布油更會高見200美元一桶。筆者雖未至於如此樂觀,但年內油價進一步上升機會仍相當高,加上個股如中海油(00883.HK)尚有回A概念,短期仍值得看高一線,可考慮現價買入,短線先上望9.4至9.5元水平,年內則以今年高位10.05元爲目標。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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恆指突破25,500點不過成交未能配合
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(19日)美股三大指數全線向上,業績股表現普遍較預期好,道指升近200點,距離其歷史新高只差不足200點;標普500升34點,距離歷史高位只差26點;金龍中國指數收於近六週最高點,有望支持在港科技股走勢。個股方面,中國政府多管齊下遏制煤炭瘋漲,發改委研究對煤價實行幹預措施,動力煤期貨重挫;世茂服務(00873.HK)以先舊後新方式配售1.15億股股份,配售價格每股15.18港元。合計籌資6.25億美元。配售價格較週二收盤價折讓9.75%。
從技術走勢上,恆指成功突破50天線25,500點,14RSI亦持續創出近期新高,不過成交量方面未見配合,需觀望指數能否正式企穩,目前下一阻力目標將會爲100天線的26,693點水平。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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