郭思治: 大市在先高後低之形態主導下 仍持續尋低位
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(13日)再大幅急跌,恆指早市先低開320點至25,885點,其後由25,886點開始逐步回落,且跌勢更越來越急,至午後,恆指更一度急挫635點至25,570點,由於跌勢略偏促,故引來投機性之低吸買盤,市勢卒得以喘定並作技術性後抽,恆指最後報收25,813點,較上日急回392點,全日總成交金額為1,503億元,以昨天大市報收於25,813點計,技術上已再度跌穿10天線(26,047點),單從技術上看,大市已再重陷反覆不明之中,而經昨天之急跌,本月大市之波幅已稍擴闊至990點,恆指暫是由8日之高位26,560點跌至13日之低位25,770點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於4個交易日之內,故假如先高後低之形態不變,大市可能仍會再進一步往下尋月內新低。
由於內地監管當局對一眾新經濟股仍不斷有政策出台,故騰訊(00700.HK),美團點評(03690.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)仍持續受壓,雖月來略見反彈,但大氣候已不在,故經過一輪波幅性之反彈後,整體表現又再回復反覆不明之勢,情況一日仍未改善前,大市暫仍難抱太多上望憧憬,因此,任何投機性之短炒行動,技術上均不宜操之過急及過勇。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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