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郭思治: 大市昨稍見反覆 惟只屬急升後之正常消化
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(25日)先升後跌,但相對近日之反彈幅度計,只屬急升後之高台整固而已,恆指昨先高開203點至25,930點,其後再進一步升至25,982點,但由於高台買盤卻步,加上伺高回吐的短炒獲利貨漸增,故大市卒漸呈反覆,而恆指亦一度稍跌179點至25,548點,惟低位維穩買盤再現,故跌勢得以喘定,至接近收市時緩步回升,恆指最後報收25,693點,較上日微跌34點,全日總成交金額為1,633億元。 從技術上看,大市昨日早段曾一度重越10天線(25,740點),雖其後未能穩守其上,但以恆指昨日報收在25,693點計,相距僅為47點,只要今日大市能續整固於25,700點左近,形勢上該有利於再進一步重越10天線(25,740點),恆指如能成為重越10天線,技術上該有利於再進一步上試20天線(26,023點),但需指出,自8月20日低位24,581點開始之回升,該只屬急跌後之技術性反彈,暫該不屬新升浪之重展。 恆指能否作進一步之推升,當需視乎主要恆指成份股之表現而定,尤其是騰訊(00700.HK),美團點評(03690.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等之表現至為關鍵,另友邦(01299.HK),港交所(00388.HK)及匯控(00005.HK)等舊經濟股之走勢如何亦頗重要。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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