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《高盛認股證牛熊證》阿裏再度回落 下週公佈業績 留意少數貼價購12836、中期購12321、遠牛66629
正股表現:阿裏將於下週二公佈2022財年首財季業績,市場預期首財季非公認會計準則淨利潤料介乎364.69億至421.96億元人民幣,按年下跌7.6%至上升6.9%。

阿裏股價昨日反彈後今早回落,現下跌逾4%,報188.9元。

資金流向:觀察個股輪證資金流向,昨日見阿裏認購及沽證都有資金流走。但觀察過去5個交易日計,資金兩邊部署,認購及認沽分別大約2,000萬及1,200萬元流入。

產品選擇:觀察個股波幅數據,會發現近日阿裏相關產品的波幅非常波動,投資者宜選擇對波幅敏感度較低的產品,以減低波幅變化對輪價的影響,因此宜留意貼價至輕微價外的選擇。

投資者如看好,可留意現時市場最貼價條款之一的購12836,是市場唯一中短期貼價條款,屬高槓杆、低面值,可利用作短線部署。中期證則可留意輕微價外購12321,是相近條款產品中高槓杆、低街貨的選擇。

阿裏購12836,行使價198.1元,2021年9月27日到期,實際槓桿9.5倍,市場唯一中短期貼價條款、高槓杆、低面值

阿裏購12321,行使價204.08元,2021年12月28日到期,實際槓桿6.4倍,中期、輕微價外、低街貨

股價波動,計劃部署阿裏牛熊證的投資者現時宜利用較遠收回的產品,以減低收回風險,看好可留意阿裏牛66629,收回價165元,距離現貨有約25元差距,是相近收回價產品中槓桿最高。相反,如看淡阿裏,可留意遠熊51434,收回價210元,距離現貨有約20元差距。

阿裏牛66629,收回價165元,行使價163元,換股比率500,槓桿比率7.2倍,遠牛、相近收回價產品中槓桿最高

阿裏熊51434,收回價210元,行使價212元,換股比率500,槓桿比率7.6倍,遠熊、低街貨

注: 以上數據資料來自高盛認股證牛熊證網站https://www.gswarrants.com.hk/~

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