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《前瞻》騰訊(00700.HK)為券商下半年首選「票王」 招行及阿里亦獲青睞
市場憧憬新冠疫苗加快接種推動全球經濟復甦,各國央行量寬及政府財政政策的刺激,觸發通脹疑慮,推動商品價格及美債孳息上升,物管股碧桂園服務(06098.HK)上半年股價累漲60%為藍籌升幅榜榜首,中石油(00857.HK)上半年累漲57.5%亦於藍籌升幅榜第二位,中信股份(00267.HK)及體育用品股安踏(02020.HK)亦各累升52.5%及48.7%升幅居前列。然而內地政府加強對數字平台反壟斷監管,影響中資互聯網股表現。

本網於去年底綜合19間券商列出的港股、中資股首選及推介名單,於今年上半年好壞參半,獲最多(13間)券商推介的騰訊(00700.HK),於今年上半年股價累升3.55%,表現落後恆指同期5.9%升幅。去年並列第二熱門股份的安踏及京東(09618.HK),半年分別累升48.7%及累跌10.7%。第四熱門推介股份招行(03968.HK)於上半年股價累升35.2%,為國指半年升幅榜前列。

展望2021下半年,本網綜合16間券商列出的港股、中資股首選、推介名單及投資組合,騰訊續成為最多券商推介的首選股,共有9間券商看好。跟著是同獲5間券商看好的阿里巴巴(09988.HK)(BABA.US)及招行。而新地(00016.HK)、中石油(00857.HK)、中海油(00883.HK)、友邦(01299.HK)、工行(01398.HK)、JS環球生活(01691.HK)及舜宇光學(02382.HK)亦均獲4間券商推介看好。

【騰訊續獲青睞 看俏阿里招行】

參照外資大行上半年的港股首選推介表現,其中以瑞信、瑞銀及高盛相對較佳。據瑞信5月下旬報告其港股焦點股份名單包括京東(JD.US)、李寧(02331.HK)新地及騰訊。而瑞銀於6月初發表報告,列出其港股最喜愛股份名單,包括友邦(01299.HK)、領展(00823.HK)、金沙中國(01928.HK)、新鴻基地產(00016.HK)、長和(00001.HK)、新世界發展(00017.HK)及恆生銀行(00011.HK)

而高盛5月初報告,按盈利重評領先指標(ERLI)準選篩選出的首選股,股份屬亞太區「確信買入」名單或獲「買入」評級,包括紫金(02899.HK)、中石油、郵儲銀行(01658.HK)、中國建材(03323.HK)、建行(00939.HK)、小米(01810.HK)、工行(01398.HK)、招行(03968.HK)、恆生銀行(00011.HK)、中銀香港(02388.HK)、農行(01288.HK)、信義光能(00968.HK)、瑞聲科技(02018.HK)、華虹半導體(01347.HK)、江西銅(00358.HK)、中國宏橋(01378.HK)、玖龍紙業(02689.HK)、中鋁(02600.HK)、理文造紙(02314.HK)、

【下半年關注 醫療地產股】

寶鉅證券董事及首席投資總監黃敏碩早前接受本網訪問時表示,下半年看好醫療健康股份,較看好合同研發醫療組織(CRO)及醫療科技股,包括藥明康德(02269.HK)及微創(00853.HK),亦看好落後的心通醫療(02160.HK)。他亦看好本地地產股,指出通脹下投資者會選擇「磚頭股」,亦預計美國不能大幅加息,行業中較看好恆地(00012.HK)及新世界發展(00017.HK)。

黃敏碩又指,大型科技股要留意政策規管及壟斷調查,個人較看好嗶哩嗶哩(09626.HK),認為業務分散且較受年青人歡迎,面對監管亦相對少。新能源則留意氫概念,認為能源上游炒作在上半年已差不多完成,下游反而被忽略,中石化(00386.HK)發展加氫站業務,可予以看好。

他指醒投資者小心內房及教育板塊股份,因兩者均面對政策紅線,尤其教育股,縱使當中有優質股份,投資上亦宜較選擇性。他亦認為下半年投資市場主要看通脹及就業之爭,市場擔心通脹上升,但就業方面則經濟恢復下上力。對於人民幣近期下跌會否引發資金流出憂慮,黃敏碩指市場並不太擔心,反擔心人民幣升值影響出口,人民幣匯價現水平為市場所接受。

【價值選友邦 內房股分化】

宏匯資產管理董事及投資總監林嘉麒早前接受本網訪問時推介價值股,包括騰訊、匯控(00005.HK)及友邦,料有關股份可帶動恆指直上新高。增長股中則認為美團及阿里巴巴有望破頂。林嘉麒又指,整個內房行業板塊,要小心行業走勢分化,當中更要小心槓桿及有違約風險。他指內房股要留意按月銷售數字外,還要關於負債情況及三條紅線,認為二、三線內房股融資成本仍然健康,派息亦見理想。(fc-ta/w/t)~

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