發改委:預計7月煤價進入下降通道 或出現較大幅度下降
據《新華社》引述發改委有關負責人表示,初步研判,今年迎峯度夏期間能源供需能夠保持總體平衡。對於即將到來的迎峯度夏高峯已提前作出安排,繼續組織做好增產增供,穩定煤炭生產,適當增加進口,加強協調調度,確保煤炭穩定供應。
隨着夏季水電、太陽能發電增長,以及煤炭產量和進口量增加,煤炭的供需矛盾將趨於緩解,預計7月份煤價將進入下降通道,價格將出現較大幅度下降。該負責人並表示,主要產煤地區停產煤礦將逐步恢復生產,預期7月初就能夠恢復到6月上旬的生產水平,且一些具備增產潛力的優質先進產能下半年還將逐步釋放。
此外,根據進口煤訂單情況看,7月、8月將是進口煤到貨的高峯期,煤炭供應將進一步得到有效補充。進入汛期以後,來水大幅增加,水電出力明顯增長,同時夏季太陽能發電也快速增長,將大量替代火力發電,有效減少火電用煤需求。
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