植耀輝: 美股個別發展納指造好 港股走勢續反覆
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(17日)個別發展,債息下跌拖累金融股表現,連帶令道指受壓,不過科技股則造好,最終道指下跌210點或0.62%,收報33,823點,標普500指數微跌1點,收報4,221點,納指上升121點或0.87%,收報14,161點。
港股昨日走勢不俗,早段受美股下跌拖累而下跌,恆指便一度下跌超過200點。不過午後A股走勢轉佳,個別股份如比亞迪(01211.HK)及舜宇(02382.HK)表現突出,令大市由跌轉升之餘,尾市升幅更擴大至超過100點。最終港股上升121點,收報28,558點,結束「七連陰」走勢,成交金額1,402億元。
雖然港股似見反彈,不過外圍情況仍充滿變數,特別是未來美國息口去向甚受關注,而短期美股走勢預期亦會較波動,對港股亦會有一定影響;另外,雖然A股昨日表現理想,但主要是受個別板塊如半導體股拉動,同時北水已連續多個交易日出現淨流出情況,如短期A股再有較大波動,則恆指仍有機會下試28,200點水平。至於昨日提及之時代天使(06699.HK),昨日股價相當波動,最終亦下跌5%至380元。有關基本面昨日已談,不贅;但基於估值仍高,繼續不建議吸納。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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恆指能否重返20天線成關鍵
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(17日)美股個別發展,美國首次申領失業救濟人數再度重返40萬之上亦遜預期,道指連續第四日受壓,銀行股及原材料股帶領跌勢,盤中一度再挫逾400點,仍挫210點或0.62%,創5周新低。美國10年期債息一度衝上最高1.595釐,惟在美市尾段倒跌6.9個基點,至1.511釐;低位曾見1.446釐,有助科技股走勢,納指收升0.9%。美元走強令紐約期金價格跌4.7%,挫穿1800美元關口。港股ADR變動不大,投資者繼續炒股不炒市,關注新股首發表現,內地茶飲品牌奈雪的茶(02150.HK)正式招股,每股招股價介乎17.2元至19.8元,集資額介乎44.25億至50.94億元。每手500股,入場費9,999.76元。
恆指於保力加通道之底部有所反彈,成交量亦有所配合,不過10天線仍然跌穿多條移動平均線造成死亡交叉,暫時阻力位則下移至20天線28,850點,一日恆指未重越保力加通道之中軸上,指數仍然有向下突破的機會。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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