《即日市評》聯儲局轉「鷹」 恆指反覆升 晶片股受捧
聯儲局昨晚維持貨幣政策不變、維持每月買債1,200億美元的步伐不變，港股今日反覆回升。聯儲局維持貨幣政策不變，聯邦基金指標利率保持在零至0.25%區間，而美國聯儲局轉「鷹」，官員預計到2023年底將兩次加息，較市場預期早，當局同時預計美今年經濟增長7%、調高今年通脹預測至3.4%；執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.567釐，美匯指數升至91.7；美股道指期貨最新跌145點或0.4%，納指期貨最新跌0.68%。人民幣即期收跌303點報6.4277兌一美元，上證綜指全日升7點或0.2%收3,525、深證成指升1.2%，內地創業板指數漲2%，滬深兩市成交額交共8,919億人民幣。
恆指低開195點曾低見28,216點，其後逐步靠穩回升，尾市抽高，全日收升121點或0.4%，報28,558點；國指升26點或0.25%，報10,589點；恆生科技指數升70點或0.9%，報7,901點。大市全日成交總額1,402.58億元。全日滬股通南向淨流出5.45億元人民幣；深股通南向淨流入19.64億元人民幣。部份車股回升，比亞迪(01211.HK)彈8.3%，吉利(00175.HK)漲2.9%。SOHO中國(00410.HK)獲黑石集團每股5元提全購，全日股價升21%報4.6元。
【晶片股彈高 中芯漲半成】
晶片股受捧，中芯(00981.HK)全日股價彈高5.4%收24.3元，華虹半導體(01347.HK)股價漲10%，晶門半導體(02878.HK)抽上15.3%。據《中國證券報》引述中芯國際在互動平臺上表示，今年一季度，公司營業收入中來自於歐美客戶的收入佔比近45%，目前公司產能供不應求。
高盛日前(6月15日)發表報告，預期40納米芯片將成爲中芯今明兩年業務增長動力，相信在客戶對影像感測器、WiFi、藍牙、微控制器、射頻晶片需求上升，以及從55納米芯片遷移到40納米的產品等所帶動。該行料中芯之40納米芯片於2021至2022年度收益分別增長32%及27%，估計佔該兩年度整體收入比重16%/18%，而毛利佔比爲19%/21%。該行維持其「買入」評級，目標價爲33.3元。
【沽空率下降 特步股價彈】
港股今日市寬略改善，主板股票的升跌比率爲21比21(上日12爲比30)；恆指成份股今日32只股份上升，下跌股份24只，升跌比率爲55比41(上日爲39比59)；大市今日錄沽空175.76億元，佔可沽空股份成交1,189.17億元的14.78%(上日16.262%)。
體育用品股造好，特步(01368.HK)今早高見12.6元再創新高，全日漲15.8%收12.46元，安踏(02020.HK)及李寧(02331.HK)分別升3.4%及3.7%。瑞信發表報告指，特步獲高瓴的投資，去除了配股的憂慮，指過往特步估值較低主要由於其增長較慢，加上與市場溝通不足，而其規模亦較細，不過近期獲高瓴投資後可去除投資者對公司配股的憂慮，而高瓴的往績亦增強公司信譽。
該行指特步進入新增長階段，將公司評級由「中性」升至「跑贏大市」，2020/2021年盈利預測分別升8%及11%，以反映品牌勢頭強勁、平均銷售單價提升及產品組合改善等，目標價由3.9元升至13.2元。
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