植耀辉: 重磅股拖累恒指跌 瑞声(02018.HK)走势现突破可留意
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称，港股昨日(3日)显着下跌，恒指高开68点後无以为继，其後跌幅逐步扩大，午後在友邦(01299.HK)及腾讯(00700.HK)等重磅蓝筹拖累下恒指一度大跌395点，最终收报28,966点，下跌331点，大市成交1,389亿元。腾讯、友邦、汇控(00005.HK)及建行(00939.HK)未来比重将下调，股份收市分别下跌2%、1.6%、0.7%及2%。
由於收市後恒指调整将生效，意味今日恒指仍可能会相当波动，加上美国今晚将公布就业数据，相信大市仍会较反覆。值得留意的是，A股走势亦有所转弱，而且大市29,400点阻力亦相当明显，短期要留意下方28,700点水平能否守稳。另外，早前推介过之石药(01093.HK)股价仍较硬净，由於基本面仍乐观，建议仍可继续看好，目标仍以前高位，亦即看13.5元。
当然亦要谈谈瑞声(02018.HK)表现。瑞声昨日股价大升，最高升至53.2元，收报51.4元，上升5.2%。瑞声昨日有好表现，可归纳有以下因素。其一是华为发布鸿蒙2.0系统，消息利好5G以至整个手机产业链股份表现；其次是苹果公司将於下周举行一年一度之开发者大会，气氛有利苹果概念股。第三是国际数据公司IDC预期，今年智能手机出货量将达到13.8亿台，按年增长7.7%。不过即使撇除有关因素，瑞声早前公布之第一季业绩表现相关不俗，毛利率改善情况优於预期，大行亦憧憬光学产品会有相当强劲增长，相信股价仍有力造好。
另外，从技术分析来看，瑞声股价早前一直受制预49元水平，其後出现突破，後市若能守稳49元水平之上，走势仍倾向乐观，中线上望57元水平。
(笔者为证监会持牌人，持有腾讯及友邦股份)
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恒指跌穿首个支持位29,000点 慎防有更深调整
耀才研究部称，美股昨(3日)反覆震荡，收市全线向下，纳指跌幅居前。美国就业数据向好，5月份ADP私人职位大增97.8万个，创近一年最大涨幅，并远超预期的65万个；同时首次申领失业救人数，按周减少2.1万人至38.5万人，略低预期，是疫情爆发以来首次跌破40万关口。另外，5月份ISM服务业指数由4月的62.7，升至64，优於预期的63.2，创1997年有统计以来新高。
强劲的经济数据则加深了联储局收紧货币政策的忧虑，道指盘中最多跌265点，不过有传总统拜登政府将把企业最低税率定为15%，而不是之前所建议提高至28%，大市曾收复失地倒升，不过尾段仍要轻微回吐。接下来联储局官员的公开发言相当关键，对於会否因应经济数据向好而收紧以往的宽松政策，将对高估值的增长型股份有重大影响，小心大市有更深之调整，建议仓位上需作出平衡。
技术上，恒指本周於29,500点关口遇压回落，未能突破自3月起以来的长方形横行格局，虽然10天线与100天线刚出现黄金交差，不过昨日已跌穿即市支持29,000点，需要留意20天线28,500点，即保力加通道中轴能否成功守住。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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