《大行報告》中金料恆指季檢下消費、醫藥及科技股可成贏家 估京東及網易等「染藍」
阿思達克 05-21 12:27
中金近日發表報告表示，就恆生指數服務公司將於今日(21日)收市後公布首季審議結果，令市場將關注恆指、國指、恆生科指等指數成份股的部份調整，該行指基於恆指公司3月發布諮詢結果，將逐步開始針對恆指以下幾點作系統性優化，第一是指數擴容，2022年中前成份股數將由目前55隻增至80隻，最終遠期目標為100隻，料將在今次調整中開始逐步體現；第二是代表性提升，按7個行業組別選擇成份股以保證行業內部的覆蓋率，料消費、醫藥和科技業的覆蓋度或將明顯提升，成為最大贏家。
該行指，第三是近期新上市公司納入可能性增加，主要於上市時間要求縮短至3個月；第四是龍頭公司權重調整，將對恆指和國指成份股統一採用8%權重上限(目前普通成份股上限為10%，但二次上市和同不同權公司的上限為5%)。
中金指，由於上述提到一些關鍵指數優化措施尚未給出具體的編制方式法細節，因此此次預覽中只能續用原有調整方法進行預測。綜合而言，該行料京東(09618.HK)、網易(09999.HK)、華潤啤酒(00291.HK)、中國飛鶴(06186.HK)、李寧(02331.HK)、信達生物(01801.HK)、信義玻璃(00868.HK)、微創醫療(00853.HK)、平安好醫生(01833.HK)、復星國際(00656.HK)、信義光能(00968.HK)、威高股份(01066.HK)、康師傅(00322.HK)、閱文(00772.HK)、頤海國際(01579.HK)、滔搏(06110.HK)、中國旺旺(00151.HK)、海螺創業(00586.HK)和高鑫零售(06808.HK)等排名靠前，有可能成為被納入恆指的潛在候選者。
該表示，從潛在權重變化上，基於現有指數成份股的實際權重，騰訊(00700.HK)、友邦(01299.HK)及匯控(00005.HK)的權重超過8%，分別為9.8%、9.2%及8.3%，可能會根據8%的權重上限被動下調，從而帶來潛在被動資金流出。
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