郭思治: 大市喘定之餘 技術上或可伺機上試28,884點
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過周二(18日)之急升,技術上已初呈回穩之訊號,以恆指當日報收在28,593點計,即已初步重越10天線(28,304點)及20天線(28,570點),單從形態上看,大市不但已漸擺脫進一步尋底之威脅,且只要大市再作較明顯之抽升,技術上更可伺機上破50天線(28,683點)及100天線(28,751點),甚至伺機上試本月7日之高位28,884點,值得留意的是,只要恆指能上破28,884點,則本月大市之形態將可扭轉成先低而後高,故主要恆指成份股能否進一步上升將至為關鍵。
大市將步入5月份之下旬,故即月期指轉倉及結算等相關活動將漸主導大局,未來數個交易日之表現確相當重要,談到此點,當需留意美團點評(03690.HK)能否重越早前配股價273.8元及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)能否回升上220元,因兩者在恆指內之成份比重均各佔5%,對大市當具一定影響力。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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