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一文综合券商於哔哩哔哩(09626.HK)公布季绩後最新评级、目标价及观点
阿思达克 05-14 12:21
哔哩哔哩(09626.HK)今早股价受压,盘中曾低见696元一度下挫7.5%,早市股价收714元下滑5.2%,券商指哔哩哔哩首季收入稳固,月活跃用户(MAU)增长如期推展,但关注行业监管风险及MAU中长期增长目标。公司昨收市後今年首季业绩,亏损扩大至9.04亿元人民币,上年同期蚀5.35亿人民币;每股亏损2.54元人民币。期内经调整净亏损为6.66亿人民币,较去年同期有所扩大,经调整每股亏损1.87人民币,好过市场预期。

公司首季净营业额总额39.01亿人民币按年升68.5%,稍胜预期,首季公司月均活跃用户达2.23亿户,移动端月活用户达2.09亿户,分别按年升30%及33%,而期内日均活跃用户达6,010万户,按年增18%,平均每月付费用户则达2,050万,按年增53%。公司现时对2021年第二季度净营业额进行了展望,预计将达到42.5亿元至43.5亿人民币。

【首季收入巩固 关注MAU前景】

哔哩哔哩绩後遭多间大行下调目标价,高盛表示下调对哔哩哔哩港股目标价由1,219元降至1,205元,基於推展新游戏的市场销售支出较高、建立品牌以提升移动月活跃用户(MAU)数量的支出较高,维持「买入」投资评级。花旗指下调对哔哩哔哩美股目标价由166美元降至162美元,因调低对其至2023年年底的月活跃用户数量预测,由原来4.04亿户降至4.02亿户。

中银国际表示,哔哩哔哩今年首季网游收入按年升2%至11.7亿人民币,因推迟了新游戏管理,大部份新游戏於第二季推出,指首季月活跃用户达2.23亿户(按年升30%),符合预期,决定下调对哔哩哔哩2022年MAU预测由3.58亿降至3.478亿户。而招银国际认为基於监管风险下,料市场短期或下调行业估值,但对哔哩哔哩长线用户及货币化进程具信心,维时「买入」评级。

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本网最新综合3间券商对哔哩哔哩港股投资评级及目标价:

券商│港股投资评级│目标价

摩根大通│增持│1,600港元

高盛│买入│1,219港元->1,205港元

瑞信│跑嬴大市│1,080港元

本网最新综合12间券商对哔哩哔哩美股(BILI.US)投资评级及目标价,有6间券商下调对其美股目标价:

券商│美股投资评级│目标价

摩根大通│增持│205美元

瑞银│买入│173美元->172美元

大和│买入│165美元

杰富瑞│买入│162美元

花旗│买入│166美元->162美元

摩根士丹利│增持│180美元->155美元

高盛│买入│157美元->155美元

招银国际│买入│173美元->154美元

瑞信│跑嬴大市│139美元

野村│买入│138美元

中银国际│买入│157.5美元->137.6美元

里昂│买入│128美元

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券商│观点

摩根大通│增长指标表现强劲,对长期用户及盈利能力保持乐观看法

瑞银│首季广告收入增长加快

大和│首季业务强劲增长,料游戏业务第二季度按季增速开始加快

花旗│首季净亏损及毛利率低於预期,指第二季度业绩指导高於预期

杰富瑞│经调整净亏损胜预期,因运营支出较低及投资收益较高所致

摩根士丹利│首季业绩及第二季度业绩指引与预期一致

高盛│维持对公司2021年至2023年收入估算,用户扩展加快带动增长潜力

招银国际│预计第二季度广告和电子商务收入按年增1.5倍,下调2021年至2023年收入预测

瑞信│增值服务继续保持强劲势头,付费率和用户转化率不断提高

野村│首季业绩及预期第二季度业绩指导均胜预期

中银国际│下调2021年至2022年核心每股收益预测,预计亏损将扩大

里昂│首季业绩及预期二季度业绩指导均胜预期

(ta/w)

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