植耀輝: 美股新高後轉跌 港股考驗28,000點支持
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(10日)呈先升後跌格局,道指及標普早段曾續創歷史新高,道指更是歷來首次升破35,000點水平,不過科技股走勢欠佳,拖累大市氣氛,最終道指下跌34點,收報34,742點,標普500指數下跌44點,收報4,188點,納指跌幅更達到2.6%,收報13,401點。
至於港股昨日走勢亦相當反覆,受新經濟股及內需股拖累下,恆指一度跌至28,453點,不過午後在資源股支持下,恆指跌幅逐漸收窄,最終僅微跌14點,收報28,595點,成交金額達到1,635億元。成交顯著增加主因是美團(03690.HK),皆因單一隻股份成交已達到195億元。事實上昨日大市下跌亦與美團有關,因為美團大跌7%,拖累恆指下跌98點,若計及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及騰訊(00700.HK),則三者跌幅已達140點。新經濟股份繼續捱沽,某程度上是與內地加強反壟斷因素有關,恐怕短期內仍會果擾相關板塊表現。
不過資源股則繼續見有炒作,昨日油價急升,便刺激油股有好表現,中石油(00857.HK)及中石化(00386.HK)均上升4.5%,其他鋼材相關股升幅亦相當驚人,馬鋼(00323.HK)便升14%,江西銅(00358.HK)亦升12%。
大市走勢繼續呈分化,資金續追捧強勢股,相反新經濟股及內地餐飲股沽壓沉重,部分高位計累積跌幅相當驚人,惟相關勢頭短期難以扭轉,故即使想撈新經濟股,亦建議待走勢有所改善始考慮。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,持有騰訊股份)
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科技股短期後市難以樂觀
耀才研究部稱,隔晚(10日)美股表現波動,市場關注商品價格急升引來通脹憂慮,科技股繼續被拋售,納指跌2.5%以全日低位收市,加上資源股衝高後回落,道指亦由盤中升逾300點後輕微倒跌收市。港股ADR個別發展,ATM等科技股繼續領跌,「黑期」預示恆指今早(11日)將低開300點以上,在通脹憂慮下,科技股於短期後市難抱太大憧憬。另外,留意一眾汽車股之表現,吉利汽車(00175.HK)4月總銷量10.03萬部,按年增長約減少5%,雖然旗下領克品牌銷售表現良好,但相信難以扭轉市場對其負面之看法。
恆指目前首個支持位在5月3日低位28,256點,恆指一旦再跌穿此關,將會打破橫行長方型之格局,其時較關鍵的支持位將會退至28,000點心理關口及3月25日低位27,505點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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