机构预计内地猪价季节性反弹将在6月至7月份
据《证券日报》引述中国农业科学院北京畜牧兽医研究所副研究员朱增勇表示,从外购仔猪育肥养殖户盈利水平来看,4月份开始每头115公斤商品猪亏损500元人民币(下同)左右,5月中上旬扩大至约600元。短期内猪价还将维持跌势,但下跌空间应该不大。
从供给来看,生猪出栏量增加和压栏大猪量较高是导致当前猪价持续下跌并且跌幅较大的主因,其次是消费需求不旺,猪价未出现预期上涨。有机构分析,猪企4月销售数据陆续公布,出栏量仍维持稳中有升态势,持续兑现以量补价。预计猪价季节性反弹将会出现在6月份至7月份,阶段性来看需要价格反弹与基本面相互配合。(ta/w)
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