郭思治: 大市已於本周曾两度稍升越50天线
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市昨(20日)先跌而後升,恒指早市先低开144点至28,962点,其後曾再进一步跌至28,885点方渐见喘定并作技术性後抽,但碍於动力不配,故大市只是略抽升至29,220点已渐受规限,即恒指其时曾倒升114点,由於买卖双方均未见有较明显之出击,故整个大市卒持续拉锯於上述波幅之内至收市,恒指最後报收29,135点,较上日微升29点,全日总成交金额为1,957亿元(当中包括美团(03690.HK)的配股上板)。
踏进今天,大市将正式步入4月份之下旬,而经过本周一之上升後,本月大市之形态已扭转成先低而後高,恒指暂是由12日之低位28,274点升至19日之高位29,319点,即月内之波幅已稍扩阔至1,045点,由於一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於6个交易日之内,故只要先低後高之形态不变,在本月下旬时份,大市可能会候机再上寻月内新高。
移动线方面之表现平稳,惟大市於本周一及二,曾於日中一度稍升越50天线(约在29,198点左近),只是由於动力不继,故50天线卒告得而复失,但只要恒指能继续稳守於10天线(28,824点)及早20天线(28,650点)之上,形态上该有利於再候机上试或上破50天线(29,198点)。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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