《專題》摩通對美團(03690.HK)旗下社區團購及總體業績預測(表)
摩根大通於上月底發表報告,列出對美團(03690.HK)旗下社區團購業務未來業績預測:
季度│去年第四季│今年第一季預測
社區團購收入│3.6億元│13.5億元
每單收入│0.8元│1元
交易總額(GMV)│45億元(按年升5%)│135億元(按年升15%)
營運溢利│虧損30.6億元│虧損60.93億元
以上貨幣單位均為人民幣
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年度│2020年│2021年預測│2022年預測
社區團購收入│4.8億元│154億元│419億元
-按年變幅│-│+31.1倍│+172%
交易總額(GMV)│60億元│1,101億元│2,466億元
-按年變幅│-│+17.4倍│+124%
營運溢利│虧損36億元│虧損265億元│虧損182億元
以上貨幣單位均為人民幣
年度│2023年預測│2024年預測
社區團購收入│924億元│1,605億元
-按年變幅│+120%│+74%
交易總額(GMV)│4,863億元│8,023億元
-按年變幅│+97%│+65%
營運溢利│虧損逾93億元│虧轉盈賺154億元
以上貨幣單位均為人民幣
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此外,該行亦列出美團今明兩年業績預測
年度│2020年│2021年預測│2022年預測
收入│1,148億元│1,800億元│2,362億元
經調整盈利│31.21億元│虧損116.7億元│48.83億元
以上貨幣單位均為人民幣
(wl/t)
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