《即日市评》内地首季GDP符预期 恒指反覆升 吉利弹出
受科网股、中移动(00941.HK)及吉利(00175.HK)升势带动下,港股今日向上。昨晚美国十年期国债孳息率跌10.6点子创逾五个月最大单日跌幅,兼且美国零售销售强劲,带动美股道指及纳指昨晚各升0.9%及1.3%;执笔之时美国十年期国债孳息率跌至1.59厘,美股道指期货最新跌4点或0.01%,纳指期货最新跌0.3%。中国公布首季GDP按年升18.3%(市场预期升18.5%)、按季升0.6%(市场预期升1.4%)、3月规模以上工业增加值按年升14.1%(市场预期升18%)、3月社会消费品零售总额按年升34.2%(市场预期升28%),上证综指全日升27点或0.8%收3,426、深证成指升0.3%,沪深两市成交额共6,922亿人民币。
恒指今早高开34点,早段曾倒跌82点一度低见28,711点,午市升幅曾扩大至286点一度高见29,079点,全日升176点或0.6%,收28,969点;国指升121点或1.1%,收11,027点;恒生科技指数升89点或1.1%,收8,232点。大市全日成交总额1,431.73亿元,沪、深港通南向交易半日录得净流入金额分别为12.85亿及47.17亿元人民币。
恒指本周累升270点或0.9%、国指本周累升50点或0.5%、恒生科指本周累跌73点或0.9%。市场关注十年期债券孳息率本周反覆回落;市场另一焦点是科网平台企业监管问题,阿里(09988.HK)因在网络平台实施「二选一」垄断行为遭内地罚款182.28亿元人民币、蚂蚁集团将整体申设金融控股公司。而科网股受压,因市场监管总局等部门召开互联网平台企业行政指导会,针对强迫实施「二选一」以及其他突出问题,提出各平台企业要在一个月内全面自检自查,逐项彻底整改,逾30间平台企业相继发出依法合规经营承诺书。
【内地首季GDP符预期 中资电讯股有支持】
就中国公布首季及3月份经营收据,高盛发表报告表示,中国今年GDP按年升18.3%(该行及市场同业均原预期升18.5%),按季0.6%,指中国首季实质GDP大致符合预期,但内地3月工业业增加值及固定资产投资增长则逊预期。该行指,中国经济在今年首季度持续恢复,GDP的按年增长强劲增长,但至3月份工业活动的增长放缓,展望未来,该行预计中国今年整体经济活动增长将保持健康;对美国和欧洲强劲复苏的预测,将可续支持中国出口增长;该行维持中国2021年全年的GDP预测为按年升8.5%。随着总体GDP增长和家庭收入增长的恢复,该行料中国未来几个季度总体GDP可进一步改善。
中资电讯股造高,中移动(00941.HK)全日上扬3%收51.2元,联通(00762.HK)及中电信(00728.HK)全日股价各涨2.3%及2.7%。摩根大通发表报告表示,虽然估计中资电讯股首季EBITDA毛利率仍然受压,但预计相关公司营收和盈利增长均会录得良好表现。而该行估计中移动今年首季纯利录245亿人民币,按年升4.3%;EBITDA按年升3.1%至707亿人民币;总体收入按年5.4%至1,780亿人民币。
【吉利推新品牌「极氪」 股价曾抽高近一成】
港股今日市宽向好,主板股票的升跌比率28比14(上日为17比24),上升股份1,144只(升幅2.6%),恒指成份股今日43只股份上升,下跌股份11只,升跌比率为78比11(上日为40比60);大市今日录沽空177.31亿元,占可沽空股份成交1,199.84亿元的14.778%(上日17.551%)。
吉利(00175.HK)股价一度抽高9.8%曾高见22.35元,全日抢上7.1%收21.8元,成升幅最大蓝筹股。就吉利汽车宣布推出新汽车品牌极氪首款纯电动车型「极氪001」,每辆汽车售价介乎26.6万至34.5万人民币(计入补贴後),建银国际发表报告表示,吉利新车「极氪001」建议定价令人印象深刻,大大低於了此前管理层指引每辆汽车售价介乎30万至50万人民币,料影响非常正面。
花旗发表报告表示,相信吉利推出「极氪001」是欲与特斯拉(TSLA.US) 旗下Model 3形成直接竞争,该行认为吉利新电动车「极氪001」在尺寸和性能方面均较Tesla Model 3的看起来更出色,而「极氪001」价格略高於Model 3。该行预计「极氪001」最初的月销量将介乎4,000至5,000辆,估计在全面投产後,至2022年第二季月销量可达到1万至1.2万辆。该行维持对吉利「买入」投资评级及目标价51.3元。(wl/a)
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