方正證券:首次覆蓋映客(3700.HK)給予強烈推薦評級,目標價3.05港元
方正證券(香港)今日發研報首日覆蓋映客(3700.HK)給予強烈推薦評級,目標價3.05港元。映客(3700.HK)今日收報2.4港元,市值48億港元。
報吿重點內容如下:
看好行業及集團未來表現:因為 1) 內地直播及短視頻行業發展迅速,正不斷擴大,潛力尚未見頂;2) 集團專注於細分市場,競爭相對較少,並有潛力;3) 集團規模正擴大,各項產品加強集團經濟生態圈,可提升規模經濟效益;4) 集團擁有強大的中台發展,並具優勢。
內地短視頻及直播行業發展迅速,潛力未見頂:根據艾瑞諮詢的資料顯示,中國短視頻平台平均日活躍用户數由2015年的32百萬,增加至2019年的 496百萬,複合年增長率98.7%,並預期到2025年可達900百萬,達至複合年增長率10.4%;中國直播平台平均日活躍用户數由2015年的36百萬,增加至2019年的213百萬,複合年增長率56.4%,並預期到2025年可達513百萬,達至複合年增長率15.7%。行業發展潛力強勁。
專注細分市,拓展更多產品:集團以其主力品牌映客APP作為原始業務,並基於其知明度及其用户羣,拓展更多不同細分市場的產品,以吸引更多用户使用其產品,從而加強集團整用户黏性度,擴展集團經濟生態圈,我們認為可有利於集團未來業績表現,並持續為集團帶來回報。
集團擁有強大的中台發展,並具優勢:集團擁有一個強大的中台發展模式,能夠快速支持創新產品的開發及驗證,把研發過程精簡,有效地縮短推出時間,帶來更大便利,使產品推出成功率提高,因此提升成本效益,能更快讓客户接觸其產品,使其具有領先優勢。
估值評級:基於折現現金流估值模型的目標價為3.05港元,運用加權平均成本9.60%計算,採用終端增長率3.0%,相等於2021/2022年預測市盈率30.3/27.4倍,給予強烈推薦評級。
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