《业绩前瞻》券商料中银香港(02388.HK)去年盈利按年逾14% 估派息减14%至24%
中银香港(02388.HK)将於下周二(30日)公布去年业绩，料受新冠疫情大流行拖累，令拨备支出趋升及营运受挑战，本网综合6间券商预测中银香港2020年公司股东应占溢利介乎257.71亿元至282.33亿元，较2019年同期321.84亿元，按年下跌12.3%至19.9%，中位数274.83亿元，按年跌14.6%。
综合3间券商料中银香港2020年每股全年股息预测介乎1.16元至1.32元，较2019年每股全年股息1.537元，按年下跌14.3%至24.5%。
【受疫情拖累 盈利派息降】
瑞银於本月初发表报告，料中银香港去年盈利278.42亿元按年下滑13.5%，收入按年跌5.1%，料去年净利息收入按年跌17%至336.34亿元、料净息差收窄至1.24厘，料去年股本回报率降至9.8%，不良贷款比率升至0.31%，料去年每股盈利预测2.63元、料去年每股全年派息1.32元。
花旗本月初发表报告，中银香港去年盈利282.33亿元，按年跌12.3%，料较同业表现坚固，主要是受贷款增长仍然强劲所推动，旗下资产质素稳固，指市场同业估计中银2020年每股全年派息1.15元，派息比率为44%(对比2019年为51%)。该行料中银香港去年第四季净息差按季收窄至1.16%。
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本网综合6间券商预测中银香港2020年公司股东应占溢利介乎257.71亿元至282.33亿元，较2019年同期321.84亿元，按年下跌12.3%至19.9%，中位数274.83亿元，按年跌14.6%。
券商│2020年盈利预测(港元)│按年变幅
花旗│282.33亿元│-12.3%
海通国际│280.01亿元│-13%
瑞银│278.42亿元│-13.5%
法巴│271.23亿元│-15.7%
汇丰环球研究│269.95亿人元│-16.1%
美银证券│257.71亿元│-19.9%
按中银香港2019年公司股东应占溢利321.84亿元推算
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综合3间券商料中银香港2020年每股全年股息预测介乎1.16元至1.32元，较2019年每股全年股息1.537元，按年下跌14.3%至24.5%。
券商│2020年每股全年股息预测(港元)│按年变幅
瑞银│1.32元│-14.1%
汇丰环球研究│1.28元│-16.7%
美银证券│1.16元│-24.5%
按中银香港2019年每股全年派息1.537元
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