《即日市评》美十年期债息跌穿1.7厘 港股跌幅收窄 油股捱沽
美国十年期国债孳息率昨晚升至1.73厘录见十四个月高，港股今日受外围拖累。市场对美联储在上调经济增长预测下承诺2023年完结前不加息表示怀疑，昨晚美十年期国债孳息率升至1.73厘录见十四个月高，执笔之时回落至1.687厘、美汇指数升至91.74，美股道指期货最新升65点或0.2%，纳指期货最新升0.8%。中美高层展开对话，中央外事办主任杨洁篪批美国干涉内政。上证综指全日跌58点或1.7%收3,404、深证成指跌2.6%，沪深两市成交额7,721亿人民币。
恒指今早低开247点，早段跌幅曾收窄至134点见29,271点，其後再度向下，午後曾挫668点一度低见28,737点，全日跌414点或1.4%，收28,990点；国指跌186点或1.6%，收11,283点；恒生科技指数跌125点或1.4%，收8,551点。富时罗素指数检度今日收市後生效，大市全日成交总额升至2,061.62亿元，沪港通南下交易录得净流出金额7.71亿元人民币。深港通南下交易录得净流入金额8,140万元人民币。
恒指本周累升251点或0.9%、国指本周累升110点或1%、恒生科指本周累升94点或1.1%。市场憧憬经济复苏，而美联储局近日公布维持利率不变，料通胀上升属暂时性不导致加息，联储局主席鲍威尔指目前讨论收紧量宽言之尚早。
【石油股捱沽 润电逆市弹】
市场忧虑欧洲疫情恶化，国际油价昨晚下挫，布兰特期油跌6.9%至每桶63.28美元。中石油(00857.HK)及中石化(00386.HK)股价均跌5.6%，中海油(00883.HK)股价跌4.7%。中海油服(02883.HK)跌4.8%收8.05元。
华润电力(00836.HK)全日股价抢上13.3%收10.34元。摩根士丹利发报告指，华润电力去年业绩胜预期，与其他国企同业相比更商业化，即使计及新项目增加後收入可能下降，估值仍具吸引力。去年度可再生能源业务净利润贡献占比达五成，比例较2019年增加逾5个百分点，考虑到公司资本开支维持高水平，加上派息比率维持40%，认为估值吸引，重申对其「增持」评级，目标价14.1元。
【跌股千二只 长实股价扬】
港股今日市宽转弱，主板股票的升跌比率13比31(上日为24比20)，下跌股份1,260只(跌幅2.5%)，恒指成份股今日8只股份上升，下跌股份44只，升跌比率为15比80(上日为51比40)；大市今日录沽空271.84亿元，占可沽空股份成交1,772.19亿元的15.339%(上日15.91%)。
长实集团(01113.HK)全日股价弹高7.2%收50.45元，长和(00001.HK)全日下滑4.1%收60.35元。花旗发表报告指，长实集团向李嘉诚基金会收购4项公用资产，作价170亿元，公司将以发行股份支付，为降低摊薄，公司将以每股51元回购同样数目的股份。
花旗指为增加吸引力，长实集团同时承诺在2021及22年度，派息不少於2020年水平以及因为交易所得的约9.1亿元资金贡献，相等於每股派息不少於1.877元(假设最终没有回购)。认为公司的派息应承诺是一个正面消息，但预期股东会於51元以上套现获利，目标价由34.5元升至51元，即较NAV折让50%，评级由「沽售」升至「中性」。(wl/a)
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