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植耀辉: 市况变数仍多 宜续静观其变
阿思达克 03-10 11:12
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,大市本轮之波动实在令投资者吃不消,皆因个股每日波幅动辄超过一成,而且不少更已由高位回落超过三至四成,故虽然昨日受「国家队」进场消息而令中港股市回稳,但後市仍充满变数,尤其是债息去向为不明朗,故策略上亦只宜继续静观其变会较好。

另外,若论近年其中一种最具争议之投资工具,加密货币(Cryptocurrency)必然是其中之一。包括笔者在内较保守之投资者,对其投资价值一直存疑;不过当一种投资产品能产生丰厚回报,自会有其吸引力。事实上不只个人,就连企业也会沾一沾手。Tesla(TSLA.US)早前已高调宣布投入15亿美元於加密货币,另一企业软件公司MicroStrategy MSTR(MSTR.US)更已动用超过20亿美元於Bitcoin身上,而挪威石油公司Aker早前亦宣布成立子公司并斥资约5,800万美元,投资与加密货币及区块链相关产业。

本地亦有公司想趁此分一杯羹,美图公司(01357.HK)早前便发通告,宣布透过一项「加密货币投资计划」投资Bitcoin及Ether。笔者重申,对加密货币认识不深,亦不懂如何评价其价值,只是如若某公司卖点原来在於其持有/投资某某加密货币的话,那倒不如由自己直接买好过。

(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)

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今晚美国10年期国债拍卖反应将成关键

耀才研究部称,隔晚(9日)美股个别发展,美债息率从高位回落,带动科技股显着反弹,TESLA股价大升19%,纳指升幅接近3.7%。不过,道指盘中曾升逾三百点,但尾市升幅几乎蒸发,新旧经济股表现仍继续各异。港股ADR亦是如此,美团(03690.HK)、比亚迪(01211.HK)及京东(09618.HK)升幅较为显着,而汇控(00005.HK)ADR则逆市下跌,恒指今早(10日)有望高开300点以上,从上29,000点关口。短线而言,留意今晚美国拍卖的十年期国债反应,此拍卖的反应较为关键。另外,A股於短期後市能否跌势喘定亦是关键,内地流动性紧张亦很大可能限制港股表现。

恒指昨日先跌後回升,但至今仍未能确认恒指已扭转跌势。从小时图上看,恒指至今仍处於一道下降通道之中,一日恒指未能重上保力加通道之中轴上(暂在28,900点),指数仍存在反覆寻底之威胁,而恒指需要一试保历加通道之顶部,才有望扭转整个下降趋势,即指数要突破29,500点关口之上,才能确认回稳讯号。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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