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郭思治: 恒指再度跌穿10天线 即20天线之支持已面临考验
阿思达克 02-05 11:09
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市经过连升三天後,昨天(4日)终见回调,恒指昨先低开214点至29,093点,其後在旧经济股如汇控(00005.HK),中移动(00941.HK),友邦(01299.HK),中国平安(02318.HK)及建行(00939.HK)等稍上升带动下,大市曾一度倒升102点至29,409点,惟由於买盘不继,加上伺高回吐之沽压亦渐增,故市势开始逆转而下,至午後更一度急跌532点至28,775点,接近末段时略见後抽,恒指最後报收29,113点,较上日跌193点,全日总成交金额为2,397亿元。

从技术上看,以大市昨天之收市为29,113点计,已再度跌穿10天线(29,169点),而相距20天线(28,973点)亦仅差140点而己,只要市势再稍受压,20天线之支持便会受考验,从走势上看,一旦恒指再跌穿20天线,即表示大市将再重现反覆欲试低位之形态,而所指的低位,暂该为本月1日之低位28,382点,前文已述,本月恒指暂是由1日之低位28,382点升至29,511点,即月内之波幅暂为1,129点,但由於一个月之高低位是不该同时出现於两个交易日之内,故在本月余下之交易日,定有穿头或破脚之情况出现。

(笔者为证监会持牌人)~

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