美股異動 | 理想汽車盤中漲幅擴大至5%。
傑富瑞首次覆蓋中國造車新勢力,在三大熱門電動汽車股中,該行分析師Alexious Lee建議買入理想汽車(LI.US)的股票,對蔚來(NIO.US)和小鵬汽車(XPEV.US)則比較謹慎,評級均爲持有。
理想汽車最近的漲幅落後於小鵬汽車和蔚來,後兩家公司在近期的大型消費者活動和自動駕駛汽車發佈上的表現更爲引人注目。過去三個月,蔚來和小鵬汽車的股價分別累計上漲了110%和161%。而理想的股價則上漲了61%。
Lee認爲這是一個機會。他對理想汽車的目標價是44.5美元。該分析師表示,理想ONE SUV並不是傳統意義上的混合動力車。其增程式動力是在純電動車的動力基礎上加入一臺輔助發電機組,它並不是直接給電池組發電,而是通過帶動原有的發電機來實現供能以延長車輛的續航駕駛裏程。並稱理想汽車對動力系統的選擇是成功的,這將幫助其比蔚來和小鵬更快實現盈利。根據市場對公司收益的普遍預期,小鵬和蔚來預計2021年將出現虧損,而理想汽車有望實現盈虧平衡。
Lee還認爲,蔚來擁有一個領先的豪華電動汽車品牌,但他對蔚來60美元的目標價接近其近期股價。該分析師對小鵬的自動駕駛技術印象深刻,並予目標價54.4美元。
總體而言,華爾街機構一直看好中國的電動汽車股。有75%的分析師予理想汽車“買入”評級,約57%和67%的分析師將蔚來和小鵬汽車的評級分別定爲買入,而道瓊斯工業股票買入評級的平均比率約爲57%。
蔚來汽車的股價約爲2021年預計銷售額的18倍。小鵬則爲17倍。而理想是三家公司中最便宜的,其股價約爲2021年預計銷售額的8.4倍。而全球市值最高的汽車公司特斯拉(TSLA.US)的交易價格是2021年預計銷量的17倍。
但考慮到目前估值水平,也不乏有機構對這三家中國造車新勢力持謹慎態度。隨着特斯拉(TSLA.US)和其他公司在未來幾個月將推出更多純電動汽車,中國電動汽車市場將面臨更多競爭。而且最近做空電動汽車股票是一門賠本生意,全球市值最高的汽車公司特斯拉的股價同期上漲了約39%。
過去一年,蔚來和特斯拉的股價分別累計上漲了約1150%和730%。小鵬和理想汽車都在去年夏天上市。這兩家公司的交易歷史還不到一年,但這兩家公司的股票自IPO以來一直表現強勁。理想汽車上市首日股價爲11.50美元。小鵬汽車的IPO發行價爲每股15美元。
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