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首季渣打中小企指數跌至32.4 反映營商信心在第四波疫情爆發下走軟
阿思達克 01-26 11:05
生產力局公布2021年度第一季「渣打香港中小企領先營商指數」調查,第一季綜合營商指數下跌5.1至32.4,反映本地中小企營商信心在第四波疫情爆發下走軟。

2021年度第一季綜合營商的五大分項指數均全線下跌,「盈利表現」錄得最明顯跌幅,顯示中小企面臨較困難的營商環境。調查亦發現,38%受訪中小企預期下一季營業額將上升或維持不變,較上季減少10%。行業方面,三大行業分類指數,包括「進出口貿易及批發業」、「製造業」及「零售業」指數亦全線下跌。然而,即使多個行業指數向下,「社會及個人服務業」、「金融及保險業」及「資訊及通訊業」的「招聘意向」分項指數仍錄得中性水平50以上。

生產力局首席數碼總監黎少斌指出,本季度的調查時間正值香港爆發第四波疫情,故此中小企整體營商信心轉弱,整體行業分類指數均處於低位水平。不過,部份行業於「招聘意向」分項指數中仍錄得50中性水平以上,顯示這些行業在環球及本地營商環境困難下,仍有一定的發展機遇。

渣打銀行(香港)大中華區高級經濟師劉健恆指,最新一季調查結果顯示指數於連續兩個季度獲得改善後回落,其中八個主要行業指數均錄得明顯跌幅,導致綜合營商指數下跌。調查結果有點令人意外,因為這季度調查是於去年12月初至中旬進行,適逢有即將推出疫苗和美國新政府拜登上台的利好消息,本應有助振奮市場情緒。

他估計可能由於預期的全球復甦仍非常遙遠,無法抵銷目前種種挑戰帶來的悲觀情緒;新一輪冠狀病毒疫情爆發或人民幣升值對出口商均造成進一步影響。相對於長期商業信心,兩項反映短期業務表現的分項指數「盈利表現」及「營業狀況」下跌幅度較大,正好確認這觀點。

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