郭思治: 需慎防大市急升後之正常回吐
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,昨天大市先跌而後升,且更再创月内之新高,恒指早市先低开119点至28,454点,其後再稍跌至28,390点方渐见喘定并作反弹,在主要恒指成份股如腾讯(00700.HK),中移动(00941.HK)及港交所(00388.HK)等做好带动下,大市升势持续并於午後一度高见28,864点,即其时大市己倒升291点,末段略见拉锯,恒指最後报收28,862点,较上日升288点,全日总成交金额为2,243亿元,从走势上看,目前大市欲上试去年1月20日之高位29,174点,如能成功升越此关,另一个上望目标该为2019年4月15日之高位30280点,此亦为2019年全年之高位。
有一点想指出,本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,月内之波幅己扩阔至1,785点,恒指暂是由4日之低位27,079点,升至18日之高位28,864点,论升幅该不算少,惟以目前形势看,确实有续寻顶之趋势,但仍需留意,目前10天线己升至28,112点,并正以每天约139点之速度上升中,严格而言,一日恒指仍能续稳企於10天线之上,技术上当有利续寻顶,但一旦恒指触及或跌穿10天线,便需慎防大市会出现急升後之正常回吐。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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