郭思治: 大市目標直指29,174點
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,昨天(14日)大市在穩步中再創月內新高,恆指早市先高開173點至28,408點,其後曾稍反覆而低見28280點,惟在騰訊(00700.HK),阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及美團點評(03690.HK)等做好刺激下續步推升至28,510點方漸受規限,即大市其時已再創月內新高,恆指最後報收28,496點,較上日升261點,全日總成交金額為2,077億元,經過昨天之升市,本月大市之波幅已擴闊至1,431點,恆指暫是由4日之低位27,079點升至14日之高位28,510點。
從走勢上看,大市目前之上望目標該為去年1月20日之高位29,174點,此亦為去年全年之高位,大市一旦突破此關,另一個上望目標該為2019年4月15日之高位30,280點,此亦為2019年全年之高位,惟目前大市雖具備續試頂之形態,但成交金額方面卻似未能配合,雖以2,077億元的成交金額已不算少,但目前大市技術上是欲試去年之高台,故成交金額最好有達2,400億元以上,動力如不配合,擔心升勢會漸受規限。
另外,目前10天線已升至27,839點,並正以每天約135點之速度上升中,故大市必需持續穩守於10天線之上,方能處續尋頂之形態中。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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