《大行报告》花旗降美股投资建议至「中性」 看好新兴市场、澳洲、英国股票
花旗分析师Robert Buckland及其团队发表报告,对美股投资建议降至「中性」,指估值昂贵,料今年投资新兴市场及英国股票更有佳回报,对新兴市场投资建议上调至「增持」。该行料全球股市价格今年仅升2%。
该行料今年MSCI全球指数持平,英国、澳洲及新兴市场潜在回报最佳。本年至今,非美股表现跑赢美股,MSCI全球指数(撇除美国)升至逾十二年高。本年至今环球市场(美国除外)表现跑赢标普500指数约2个百分点。
报告称,美国财政扩张料持续压抑美汇走势,支持新兴市场及商品价格,债券收益率料走高,料进一步支持价值股未来走势。该行补充,如果疫苗未能推动全球复苏,其对全球股市温和乐观的看法将会显得过分乐观。另方面,如果长期超低息导致资金涌入股票基金及推进进一步估值重评,则该行展望可能不够进取。
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