新能源車11月銷量亮眼,比亞迪漢月銷首度破萬
截至2020年12月4日,已有多家車企先後發佈了上個月汽車銷售數據。從數據上看,其新能源業務取得了不錯的成績,部分個股也在績後迎來上漲甚至一波爆發。但從多日走勢上看,板塊估值處於高位,相關個股向上突破明顯遇阻。
此前推出爆款B級新旗艦車型“漢”、改款刀片形磷酸鐵鋰電池而迎來“戴維斯雙擊”的比亞迪,在11月繼續表現強勢。

新能源汽車銷量26690輛,去年同期為11220輛,估算同比增長138%。其中,比亞迪漢11月銷售10105輛,再創新高,連續4個月銷量攀升,累計銷售28467輛。
業績發佈次日,比亞迪一改多日陰跌的趨勢低開後震盪爬坡,今日早盤漲幅超過4%後回落,後續維持在2%以內。但從多日股價走勢上看,自11月6日達到198.85元高位之後,比亞迪A股已下跌超過8%。

在A00汽車賽道上,五菱宏光MINI EV同樣延續了前幾個月的強勁銷售業績。
該車型單月累計銷售33094輛,環比增長60.4%,經連續兩月蟬聯國內新能源零售榜單銷冠;單日銷量最高突破2000輛,截至目前成為今年國內新能源市場中唯一單月銷量破三萬的車型。
與比亞迪股價走勢相似,公佈業績當天年實現小幅反彈,但自11月19日達到1.26港元的高位後,其股價至今已跌去超過11%。

中概股造車“三巨頭”最近發佈的業績也很亮眼。
蔚來汽車公佈的數據顯示,11月份蔚來汽車交付新車5291輛,繼10月份交付量再次突破5000輛,連續第四個月創蔚來品牌單月交付數新高,自今年4月以來連續八個月實現同比翻倍增長。
11月份理想汽車交付量為4646輛,環比增長25.8%,同時也是創下單月交付量紀錄。
小鵬汽車11月交付量是4224台,同比勁增342%,創下2020年內新高。
但三家公司隔夜美股走勢插水,蔚來、理想、小鵬分別下跌5.48%、7.02%、7.46%。而三家企業的對手特斯拉則上漲4.32%,截止收盤市值達到5624.65億美元

其中小鵬汽車遭到瑞銀集團下調評級指“中性”,理由是股價上漲太多,但仍看好小鵬的發展前景。截至最近一個報告期,小鵬汽車仍然處於虧損狀態,而PS固執為71.72倍,遠超特斯拉的20.8倍估值。
事實上,自中國市場受到新冠肺炎疫情衝擊減退以來,新能源汽車銷量出現報復性回彈,帶來資本市場對相關板塊的追捧。
新能源汽車指數(885431.TI)自2020年2月錄得1389.51點的低位,至今已上漲近48%;相關PE和PB估值也已處於歷史高位。

但11月下旬隨着新能源汽車題材熱度退潮,資金輪換趨勢下,新能源車板塊多家公司陸續衝高回落,交易量也出現一定程度的收縮。
但值得投資者關注的是,結合個股利好消息,個別公司偶有反彈起爆,如長安汽車在公佈於華為、寧德時代的合作項目後,10天內連續錄得3個漲停板。
因此11月中國車企新能源車銷量走強,有望在中短期拉昇板塊估值,為投資者帶來操作的機會。
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