康龍化成(03759.HK)3Q20業績:利潤率持續提升,維持“買入”評級,目標價135.0港元
機構:浦發銀行
評級:買入
目標價:135.0港元
維持買入評級,提高 12 個月目標價為 135.0 港元,潛在升幅 20.6%。
收入和利潤增長強勁: 3Q20 收入 13.9 億人民幣,同比增長 41%,繼續維持較高增速。公司三大業務板塊實驗室服務、CMC 以及臨牀研究服務 3Q20 收入同比增長 42%、40%和 39%。其中實驗室服務繼續受益於海外訂單轉移,業務需求強勁。公司參股的 Zentalis 於 2020 年 4 月在納斯達克上市,由於 Zentalis 股價於 3Q20 下跌 32%,導致公司 3Q20 錄得相應公允價值損失約 1,900 萬人民幣。3Q20 歸母淨利潤3.1 億人民幣,同比增長 86%。剔除 Zentalis 投資收益、外匯合約及固定資產處置等相關損益,公司 3Q20 扣非歸母淨利潤增長 42%至 2.44億人民幣。
利潤率持續上升: 3Q20 毛利率由於規模效應同比提升 3.7 個百分點至 39.7%。2020 年前三季度,實驗室服務、CMC 服務以及臨牀研究服務分別為 43.3%、31.7%以及 18.0%。根據公司於 1H20 業績會上給出的指引,預期實驗室服務毛利率未來幾年將上升到 44-45%。銷售費用和管理費用分別增長 40.9%和 29.4%。財務費用 3Q20 下降 78.8%,得益於上市後資金充裕償還了部分銀行借款,且利息收入同比大增。
淨利潤率由 3Q19 的 16.9%上升至 3Q20 的 22.3%。
重申買入評級,提高目標價至 135.0 港元: 我們重申買入評級,提 高目標價至 135.0 港元,對應 2021 年的 67.5 倍的 PE,略低於中國CRO 公司行業平均水平。基於前三季度的增長和持續提升的利潤率水平,我們調高財務數據預測,2020 年的收入和淨利潤增長率分別增 長 38%和 97%,2021 年分別增長 36%和 31%。 ? 投資風險: 投資收益波動;匯率變動;研發項目失敗。

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