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《即日市评》恒指「四连跌」 科技及中资金融股受压
阿思达克 10-30 17:12
苹果季绩逊预期触发美股期货下跌,港股跟随向下。苹果上季iPhone销售逊预期,截至今年9月底为止第四财季的iPhone销售额录得两年来最大跌幅,按年跌20.7%至264.44亿美元,逊市场预期,苹果盘後股价急跌;执笔之时美汇指数回升至93.91、道指期货最新跌356点或1.3%、纳指期货最新跌215点或1.9%。中共第十九届五中全会公报把科技自立自强作为国家发展的战略支撑;上证综指跌1.5%收3,224,深证成指跌2.1%,沪深两市成交额共8,708亿人民币。

恒指今日反覆向下,低开50点,早段曾倒升13点高见24,600点,午後道指期货急跌,恒指尾市曾跌556点一度低见24,029点,全日跌479点或1.9%,收24,107点,连跌四日(累跌811点或3.2%);国指跌195点或2%,收9,760点;恒生科技指数跌141点或1.8%,收7,534点。大市全日成交总额1,517.27亿元,沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为41.38亿及23.43亿元人民币。

恒指本周累跌811点或3.3%、国指本周累跌364.76点或3.6%、恒生科指本周累升50.39点或0.7%。欧美新冠疫情再度恶化,美国总统特朗普早前承认在11月3日大选之前不会有刺激经济方案,均令市场不明朗因素上升。而恒指10月累升648点或2.8%。

【恒指反覆跌 科技股受压】

苹果季绩逊预期,瑞声(02018.HK)股价跌2.7%收40.85元,舜宇(02382.HK)股价跌1.3%。中资科技股受压,腾讯(00700.HK)全日股价跌2.3%收591元,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股价跌3.1%收293.2元,美团(03690.HK)全日跌3%。

野村发表报告,估计腾讯第三季收入按年升27%至1,240亿元人民币,与市场预期一致,期内按非通用会计准则(non-GAAP)计算,经营利润率将扩阔0.4个百分点至28%,而毛利率则扩阔1.6个百分点,而non-GAAP每股盈利则按年升31%至3.33元,较市场预期高4%。在线上游戏方面,该行估计第三季收入将按年升35%至480亿元人民币,当中PC游戏收入大致平稳,按年跌约1%,而手游收入则按年增长53%,主要因为疫情对玩家时间的影响开始减退。

【跌股千二只 建行绩後软】

港股主板今日市宽转弱,主板股票的升跌比率为11比32(上日16为26),下跌股份1,283只(跌幅2.9%);恒指成份股今日8只股份上升,下跌股份41只,升跌比率为16比82(上日为18比82)。大市今日录沽空215.49亿元,占可沽空股份成交1,243.39亿元的17.331%(上日18.969%)。

中资金融股向下,国寿(02628.HK)跌4.1%。内银股造淡,建行(00939.HK)公布季绩後股价跌2.6%收5.35元。花旗表示,建行首三季业绩巩固,净息差及手续费收入增长稳定,相信股价反应正面,因纯利按年跌幅收窄,维持「买入」评级及目标价7.58元。而野村指,建行上季业绩大致符预期,但盈利能力有恶化,上季净息差收窄至2.13%,但资产质素稳定,相信其今年下半年不良率将见顶,料明年二季盈利可望复苏。

而比亚迪电子(00285.HK)股价挫8.9%收33.3元。瑞信发表报告指,比亚迪电子提供今年全年收入指引,预期今年收入为700至750亿元人民币,纯利为50至55亿元人民币,相等於第四季收入为180至230亿元人民币,纯利为7亿至12亿元人民币,相信第四季盈利主要来自原有业务,而口罩业务预期会下跌。该行降2020-22年盈利预测分别40%、15%及0%,反映收入及毛利下跌,目标价由34元降至33.6元,评级亦由「中性」降至「跑输大市」。

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