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星展料本港全年GDP跌7% 关口未开通将有更多公司裁员或结业
阿思达克 10-29 12:46
星展银行(香港)经济研究部经济师谢家曦在网上会议表示,香港在严格的社交距离限制措施下,第二季经济按年跌9%。现时,该行预期第三季及第四季的GDP分别收缩5.6%及4.1%。全年的GDP预测由原来的跌4%,进一步下调至跌7%。

他又指,第三季本港失业率由6至8月份的6.1%升至6.4%,而最近国泰航空(00293.HK)的裁员将会导致整体失业率上升0.1个百分点。若香港的关口仍未开通的话,零售及劳工市场仅会出现短暂的改善,因为旅客对本地零售消费的占比达3成,而本地市民仅能支持7成零售消费。虽然最近香港与新加坡达成「旅游气泡」协议,但新加坡游客仅占本地旅客消费1.5%。他相信,若在明年初至明年中,香港关口仍未开放的话,会有更多公司需要裁员或结业。

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