郭思治: 大市昨天之高开 遗留下215点上升裂口
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,昨天(5日)大市出现初步回稳之讯号,恒指早市先大幅高开580点至24,039点,其後稍呈反覆而回落至23,674点,由於大市交投持续偏疏,故整个大市便一直徘徊拉锯於上述之波幅之内,恒指最後报收23,767点,较上日大幅反弹308点,惟全日成交金额则仅得925亿元,从走势上看,由於恒指已渐升离9月25日之低位23,124点,故暂该不会担心有触底之误,加上恒指成份股如腾讯(00700.HK),友邦(01299.HK),汇控(00005.HK),平安(02318.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)等均渐升离近日之低位,其中以阿里巴巴之走势最俏,股价一度高见285元,技术上己属欲破顶之形态。
移动线方面己初呈回稳讯号,昨天不论是日中低位或收市,恒指均己成功升越10天线(23,639点),照走势看,只要大市再稍推升,技术上更可能进一步上试或上破20天线(24,101点),只是在交投持续偏疏下,由於动力不配,担心大市之升势会渐受规限,至於本月之形态,技术上该有利於渐发展成先低之格局,但目前只是10月之上旬,往後存在之变数仍大。
另外,昨天之高开,技术上遗留下一上升裂口,介乎23,459点至23,674点,阔215点,此上升裂口出现於10月首个交易日,情况该不太理想。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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