植耀辉: 恒指重上24,700点 敏实(00425.HK)基本面佳候低吸
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,恒指昨日再升92点,录得「三连升」之余亦重上24,700点之上。虽然走势稍见改善,但亦只是重上早前介乎24,600点至25,700点之横行区间而已。至於後市其中之一个关键,相信是美股能否持续作出反弹。笔者对美股看法较为中性,始终中美关系及11月总统大选变数颇多,虽然民调显示拜登胜算仍高,但特朗普亦非省油的灯,未来一段时间围绕总统战之话题肯定十分之多。
值得一提的是,内需股近期继续热炒,海底捞(06862.HK)及九毛九(09922.HK)等股价不断破顶。虽然相关股份上半年积极扩充,疫情过後有望步收成期,惟升幅实在太惊人,故此现阶段亦不宜过度追捧矣!
早前曾提到汽车股除了生产商外尚有其他选择,今日便跟大家介绍敏实(00425.HK)。敏实业务主要从事汽车装饰条、车身结构件等之设计、生产及销售。该公司上半年少赚58.6%,惟亦属预期之内。然而随着汽车产业於下半年经营状况有望反弹,预期业务将有所改善,集团铝饰条业务亦已成功进入Tesla供应体系。不过该公司最新拓展之铝电池盒业务,便可能成为未来股价之催化剂。
事实上,现时敏实已成为全球铝电池盒最大供应商之一,除宝马、雷诺、日产、捷豹路虎外,亦已承接来自宁德时代等新客户之订单,另外亦成为标致雪铁龙集团之电池盒专家供应商。虽然现时铝电池业务占敏实营业额仅1%,但未来两至三年将出现爆炸性增长,早前便有大行预期电池盒业务於2021至2023年复合增长率达到289%。敏实股价近期显着反弹,不过基於前景不俗,建议可待回落至27至28元以下吸纳作中长线持有。
(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)~
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