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豪賭!購物!“黃金週”將至,博彩、免税概念持續火熱!拉動兩市指數上漲
格隆匯 09-11 16:14

在經歷了黑色星期四之後,今天A股和港股主要指數都有不同程度的翻紅。其中博彩概念和免税概念普漲,一定程度上帶動了主要指數的上漲。

 

1.  8月博彩收入止跌,9月底或迎來增長點

 

港股博彩概念股午後表現出色。澳門勵駿(01680.HK)尾盤迅速拉昇至6.6%以上。金沙中國(01928.HK)漲幅近4.5%,為今日恆指成分股中漲幅第1的個股。

永利澳門(01128.HK)、美高梅中國(02282.HK)、及銀河娛樂(00027.HK)漲幅都在3%以上。 

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今年1-8月,澳門博彩總收入約364億澳門元,同比減少了8成有餘。8月澳門向廣東省恢復旅遊簽註後博彩業收入幾乎止跌,環比僅減少了1%,但並未出現預期的強勁反彈。 

隨着“十一黃金週”的臨近,澳門博彩收入或將迎來一劑強心針。 

澳門旅遊簽證預計將會在9月23日面向全國所有省市開放,對博彩股產生正面影響必然會超過僅向廣東省開放。 

摩根大通對澳門下半年旅客流量及博彩收入持樂觀看法,稱將持續改善,因此重申了對博彩概念股的看法。不過分析師指出,8月澳門恢復廣東省簽註後,平均每日博彩業收入與7月相比沒有明顯的提升,同時,貴賓廳業務收入在近幾個星期有持續下跌的趨勢,或與監管收緊有關。 

8月26日,旅遊部出台跨境賭博旅遊目的地“黑名單”制度,可能是短期內貴賓廳業務下滑的主要原因。但這一政策在長期將令境外博彩需求迴流至澳門,因此對澳門博彩企業行情起到了提振的效果。 

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黃金週的臨近在一方面結合了澳門簽註對全國開放,為博彩股帶來利好;另一方面,結合國務院9月7日發佈的優化北京市內免税店佈局、在機場隔離區為室內免税店設置提貨點等工作方案,也為火熱的免税概念再添柴。

2.  免税經濟刺激政策不斷出台,北京、海南為主要獲利城市 

A股免税概念股維持了昨日活躍拉昇的勢頭。不久前宣佈將通過子公司與中免集團三亞市內免税店合資成立機場免税合資公司的海航基礎(600515),今日觸及漲停。而昨日漲停的王府井(600859)今天繼續上漲逾6%。 

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海南離島免税政策落地至今的2個月中,離島免税購物金額達55.8億元,同比增長了2.2倍;出入境旅客超過83萬人次,同比增加了4.8%。 

而港股航空概念股中,只有同時涉及免税概念的美蘭空港大幅上漲逾7%。7月6日,免税新政落地前後,美蘭空港單日上漲近70%,創上市新高。年初至今,美蘭空港已漲了7倍有餘。

 

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美蘭空港於2002年11月在香港成功上市,主營海口美蘭國際機場以及海口美蘭機場免税店。目前海南共有四家免税店,其中只有美蘭免税店位於美蘭機場內,而其他免税店都位於市區商圈。對於僅在海南中轉或將購物定為旅行最後一個項目的遊客來説,美蘭機場免税店具有極大的便利性。 

綜上,在國內疫情基本完全得到控制,連休八天的“超級黃金週”,或會因為民眾的“報復性出遊”而迎來旅遊和消費高峯。而海外疫情形勢依舊緊張的情況下,北京、海南和澳門都將成為以購物和娛樂為目的出行的首選地點之一。 

因此,免税店和博彩企業有望在10月迎來今年首波業績增長的高峯。

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