《业绩前瞻》券商料小米(01810.HK)中期经调整净利润跌逾18% 聚焦营运指引
小米集团(01810.HK)本周三(26日)公布今年中期业绩业绩,新冠疫情在全球蔓延,对中国内地及海外智能手机及物联网产品(如小米手环和TWS耳机)销售带来负面影响,综合4间券商预测,小米今年上半年非通用会计准则的经调整净利润料介乎46.97亿至48.39亿元人民币,较2019年同期57.16亿元人民币,按年减少15.3%至17.8%,中位数为46.97亿元人民币,按年跌17.8%。
综合5间券商预测,小米今年上半年纯利料介乎32.27亿至45.85亿元人民币,较2019年同期50.78亿元人民币,按年跌9.7%至跌36.6%,中位数为38.8亿元人民币,按年下滑23.6%。
本网综合9间券商预测,小米集团今年上半年收入料介乎980.16亿至1,038.18亿元人民币,较2019年同期957.08亿元人民币,按年增加2.6%至8.5%,中位数为997.41亿元人民币,按年增加4.2%。基於中美关系紧张,投资者将关注小米最新管理层营运指引、海外业务策略(如印度市场)及互联网服务收入等,以及华为遭美国封杀事件对小米未来国内智能手机销售影响等。
【料纯利倒退 关注新指引】
花旗上周一发表报告,预计小米今年上半年纯利按年跌9.7%至45.85亿人民币、估计上半年非通用会计准则经调整净利润按年倒退17.8%至46.97亿人民币、料收入则按年升8.5%至1,038.18亿人民币。该行估计小米今年第二季收入按年升4.2%至541亿元人民币,毛利或因推广及规模因素而下降。
花旗重申小米第二季手机交付2,880万部的预测(按年跌11%),受惠於海外销售胜预期,纵使中国及印度市场表现仍然疲弱。物联网产品增长持续缓慢,受线下渠道人流减少及家电销售放缓。互联网服务在民众回复正常生活下料将回复正常,广告及金融科技料见按季改善。
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综合4间券商预测,小米今年上半年非通用会计准则的经调整净利润料介乎46.97亿至48.39亿元人民币,较2019年同期57.16亿元人民币,按年减少15.3%至17.8%,中位数为46.97亿元人民币,按年跌17.8%。
券商│今年上半年非通用会计准则经调整净利润预测(人民币)│按年变幅
招商证券国际│48.39亿元│-15.3%
交银国际│48.19亿元│-15.7%
花旗│46.97亿元│-17.8%
瑞银│46.13亿元│-19.3%
按小米2019年上半年非通用会计准则经调整净利润57.16亿元人民币计算。
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综合5间券商预测,小米今年上半年纯利料介乎32.27亿至45.85亿元人民币,较2019年同期50.78亿元人民币,按年跌9.7%至跌36.6%,中位数为38.8亿元人民币,按年下滑23.6%。
券商│今年上半年纯利预测(人民币)│按年变幅
花旗│45.85亿元│-9.7%
瑞银│40.04亿元│-21.2%
汇丰环球研究│38.8亿元│-23.6%
建银国际│33.92亿元│-33.2%
野村│32.27亿元│-36.6%
按小米2019年上半年纯利50.78亿元人民币计算。
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综合9间券商预测,小米集团今年上半年收入料介乎980.16亿至1,038.18亿元人民币,较2019年同期957.08亿元人民币,按年增加2.6%至8.5%,中位数为997.41亿元人民币,按年增加4.2%。
券商│今年上半年收入预测(人民币)│按年变幅
花旗│1,038.18亿元│+8.5%
招商证券国际│1,025.55亿元+│7.2%
交银国际│1,008.27亿元│+5.3%
野村│1,002.3亿元│+4.7%
摩根大通│997.41亿元│+4.2%
美银证券│994.9亿元│+4%
建银国际│990.57亿元│+3.5%
瑞银│981.53亿元│+2.6%
汇丰环球研究│980.16亿元│+2.4%
按小米2019年上半年收入957.08亿元人民币计算。
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