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植耀辉: 长假期大市变数多 新世界(00017.HK)合股料有後着
阿思达克 04-29 10:43
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,近期从媒体看得最多的字眼,除了「油价」外,应该便是「史无前例」,皆因绝大部分经济体所公布之经济数据皆「差爆」,并创下「史上最差」情况;不过,观乎过去两个交易日恒指反弹近750点来看,似乎投资者认为只要「解封」,一切便可迎刃而解。只是经济状况要恢复恐怕仍是漫漫长路,加上长假期期间似乎又有颇多变数,所以即使大市已重上24,500点,但仍不宜掉以轻心。

过去数周谈过不少宏观大事,原先想再谈谈油价,但既然一向「淡友底」,而且再列举情况有几差亦意义不大,所以决定转转话题,拆解一下新世界(00017.HK)合股有何玄机。先旨声明,地产股一向不是笔者「杯茶」,但对於今次合股行动,笔者却颇感兴趣。公司合股并非新鲜事,不少四、五线股份合股供股更犹如指定动作,但蓝筹合股近年则十分少见。在笔者印象中,蓝筹合股最深刻的例子,便要数到2002年电盈(00008.HK)之「5合1」。反而拆细则偶见出现,皆因入场费降低,更有利吸引散户投资者进场。

至於公司合股可以有很多原因,但较常见的说法,就是可以吸引海外基金大户青睐,因有部分基金可能不能买入成交价低於1美元之股份,此外亦可「优化股东基础」,直接一点就是吸引更多长线投资之机构投资者。对於此观点,笔者亦有请教部分前辈,但绝大部分皆认为这只是坊间普遍之想法,因为基金选股仍有多种考虑,最重要是公司前景是否值得投资。

那为何新世界今次会有此反其道而行之举措?可能要从近年之发展说起。近年新世界系动作多多,较受关注便包括私有化新世界中国,以及新创建(00659.HK)斥资215亿元收购富通保险。虽然如此,然而相比其他蓝筹地产股,新世界估值一直相对落後,最大原因在於其一直存在「管理层折让」,所以当新管理层上场後,当务之急便是如何收窄此种差距。

事实上「第三代」管理层郑志刚调升为行政总裁前,已於集团身居要职,并主理多个重要项目,当中便包括以K11品牌定名之K11 Atelier及K11Musea。而且未来新世界仍有多个大型项目,包括200亿元之SKYCITY航天城项目以及300亿元之启德体育园,因此新管理层有意重振集团形象亦不难理解,笔者认为今次合股安排是小试牛刀之举,未来应会有更多後着;只是要令外界及股民改观并非一朝一夕的事,所以新班底是否能作出改变,现阶段还须拭目以待。

(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)~

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