郭思治: 6月可能再出现炒股不炒市之情况
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,大市昨天再进一步反弹,恒指早市先高开246点至23,198点,其後曾稍见回调而低见23,165点。但由於沽压不大,加上维稳买盘续见涌现,故市势得以在缓步中再往上反弹,日中高位为23,481点,恒指最後报收23,384点,较上日升432点,全日总成交金额为1,070亿元。先从技术上看,虽大市目前仍反覆於各组常用之平均移动线之下,惟以50天线已跌至23,718点计,只要大市再上升400点,已可初步重越该线。况且,目前大市已渐升离本月之低位22,519点,论形势该有利於在月底前再进一步反弹。
今天是即月期指转仓高峰日。以昨天恒指报收23,384点计,相距本月4日之低位23,584点实不远。严格而言,大市如能在本月初进行转仓,可能代表一种好仓大户仍有部署在後头。因传6月份将有中概股来港挂牌,一般估计其时市场之气氛该会较热闹,或者在投资及投机性资金推动下,整个大市又会再出现炒股不炒市之情况。事实上,新经济股月来之表现一直强於大市,尤其是港交所(00388.HK),股价已升近年来之高位左近。(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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