《即日市评》港股偏淡资金捧药股安踏获大行唱好
港股今日窄幅偏淡。市场憧憬中美贸易紧张局势降温,美国总统特朗普表示相信中国别无选择,必须与美国达成贸易协议;而国家主席习近平近日召开中央财经委员会会议,研究推动形成优势互补高品质发展的区域经济布局问题、提升产业基础能力和产业链水平。执笔之时美汇指数处97.9210、摩通亚洲货币指数0.2%至102.49。人币中间价大幅下调240点报7.0810兑一美元,创逾十一年低;MSCI指数季度检讨将在今日收市後生效,今次MSCI换马A股扩容,纳入因子从10%提升至15%,上证综指升1.4%收2,902,沪深两市成交额增至共5,582亿人民币。
恒指高开35点後反覆偏软,尾市跌幅收窄,全日跌16点或0.06%,收25,664点;国指跌17点或0.2%,收9,996点。大市全日成交金额增至927.6亿元。沪、深港通南下交易录得净流入金额分别为26.2亿及7.62亿元人民币。MSCI指数季度检讨将在今日收市後生效,今次MSCI换马A股扩容,并将会令MSCI中国指数现有重磅股比重遭摊薄。腾讯(00700.HK)股价微升0.06%,中移动(00941.HK)跌1.5%,中国平安(02318.HK)走低0.3%。
【药股有支持 康师傅捱沽】
资金追捧医药股,石药(01093.HK)股价上扬3%收16.3元,中生制药(01177.HK)涨1.3%。建银国际发表报告表示,随着中美之间摩擦的重新升级、美联储的强硬立场,加上其他风险如美国经济衰退、英国无协议脱欧、香港和新兴市场地缘政治风险的出现,该行认为港股很有可能已经开始进入「M型」轨迹预测最後的下行阶段,并建议采取更具防御性的行业配置,偏向黄金和公用事业,以及医疗保健、消费必需品、基础设施建设和国有企业改革目标等国内需求板块。
康师傅(00322.HK)今日股价下6.8%收11.28元。高盛发表报告表示,决定下调康师傅投资评级,由原来「买入」降至「中性」,因其进行较多宣传投资、提供较高产品平均售价折扣、及渠道重整於下半年仍未完成,该行料康师傅下半年业绩仍存挑战,将康师傅目标价由15.5港元降至12.1港元。
【市宽见改善 安踏获唱好】
港股今日市宽改善,主板股票的升跌比率为25比19(上日为8比39);但恒指成份股今日24只股份上升,下跌股份21只,升跌比率为48比42(上日为8比92)。
体育用品股舞高,安踏体育(02020.HK)股价抢高5.4%收64.55元,李宁(02331.HK)及361度(01361.HK)股价各涨2.9%及2.7%,汇丰环球研究发表报告表示,安踏今年上半年业绩巩固,受惠於FILA品牌业务所带动,FILA品牌业务上半年收入增长80%,贡献集团总体收入及营运溢利44%,成为增长的巨大引擎,可支持安踏受益於「运动+休闲」趋势,指公司正从「ANTA」转变为「FI-TA」(FILA+ANTA),并成为世界级多元品牌的体育用品集团。
汇丰环球研究称,重申对安踏体育「买入」投资评级,指公司处良好位置,可维持短期增长表现,上调对其目标价由49.4港元升至70港元,此按现金流折现率作估值,并调高对其2019年至2020年每股盈利预测各5.8%及21.3%。
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