耀才團隊:中電(00002.HK)盈警短線不宜胡亂博反彈
耀才證券研究部團隊稱,美股連升四日,隔晚(20日)道指收市升249點或0.94%,報26,753點,日內曾高見26,798點,距離歷史高位26,951點只差153點。標普500指數創歷史新高報2,954點。
美國聯儲局未來勢將減息及G20峰會進行的「習特會」成為市場焦點,周四早間,美國10年期國債收益率跌破2厘關口,下降至1.974厘,創2016年11月以來新低。港股ADR普遍上升,人民幣走強繼續支持中港兩地股市短期後市表現,美元兌離岸人民幣昨日更升至6.8481水平,只要短期後市仍處於6.9水平之下,相信仍會利好一眾中資股短期後市之表現。
中電控股(00002.HK)昨日收市後出乎意料發盈警,預期截至6月底止中期,將會錄得綜合虧損,期內需要為EnergyAustralia零售業務所佔的商譽進行減值,大約60億元至70億元。此外,通告亦提及零售業務於2019年下半年的除稅前盈利減少2.4億至3億元,而該跌幅可能在未來仍會持續,中電前景不明朗因素突破增加,其派息水平能否維持仍是未知之數,加上股價自2018年開始不斷被防守性資金追捧,投資者宜慎防獲利回吐之壓力,短期內不宜胡亂博反彈。
從技術上看,恆指以上次高位30,280點開始之調整,至低位26,671點計,幅度3,609點,較樂觀的情況看反彈0.618,加上「小雙底」型態支持,恆指有望見28,901點。
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