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A股收評:滬指跌0.26%,遊戲全天強勢,電池股衝高回落

9月15日,A股主要指數漲跌不一,滬指跌0.26%報3860點,深證成指漲0.63%,創業板指漲1.52%一度站上3100點。

全天成交額2.3萬億元,較前一交易日縮量2452億元,全市場近3400股下跌。

盤面上,遊戲、電子競技板塊走高,豬肉、雞肉概念走強;CRO板塊震盪上行,電池板塊衝高回落。貴金屬、黃金及小金屬板塊走低,衛星互聯網板塊下挫,電子化學品、超導概念及航天航空等板塊跌幅居前。

具體來看:

新能源產業鏈走強,電池股領銜猛攻。中一科技、尚太科技、天賜材料等漲停,寧德時代盤中一度漲超14%創歷史新高,收漲超9%。

消息面上,今年以來,海外儲能需求爆發式增長,頭部電池廠訂單飽滿、產能緊缺,部分頭部廠家2026年電池訂單已接近排滿。國金證券認爲,產業化拐點在即,重視固態電池投資機會。從產業終局看,固態電池替代空間廣闊,消費電子、eVTOL、動力電池、機器人爲核心應用場景;作爲“新能源2.0”時代的戰略高地,固態電池得到政策支持與大廠深度佈局,產業進展持續加速。

遊戲股大爆發,星輝娛樂、完美世界漲停,三七互娛、巨人網絡漲超6%。

開源證券發佈研報稱,當下,遊戲行業正經歷較大的邊際變化。DDM框架下,潛在提升估值的邊際變化有:①遊戲行業正經歷從“一波流換皮產品”轉向“長週期項目”,行業現金流久期提升;②AI改革遊戲的商業運行模式和內容,遊戲投資ROE或顯著提升;③消費習慣的變化,從物質消費到情緒消費。提升業績的邊際變化有:①新品週期釋放,短期景氣度提升;②業績拐點到來,兌現期的盈利二階導顯著提升。

豬肉股、養殖業漲幅居前,立華股份漲超7%,溫氏股份、巨星農牧等跟漲。

國金證券指出,當前豬價表現下,成本較差企業已經出現虧損,預計養殖成本較差企業已經開始調減產能,而在供給壓力持續後移的背景下,預計短期生豬價格依舊存在較大壓力。若行業產能有序調控,預計近期能繁母豬存欄出現下降,中期行業盈利中樞有望提升。

小金屬、貴金屬跌幅居前,曉程科技跌超5%,湖南黃金跌超3%,西部黃金、四川黃金等跟跌。

值得關注的是,在美聯儲本週召開重要會議之前,美國總統特朗普預計其將“大幅降息”。中國銀河證券研報稱,美聯儲降息預期上行,驅動全球資金加速購買黃金;疊加美聯儲獨立性不明下,或將觸發更多避險資金配置黃金,推動金價的上漲,建議關注黃金龍頭標的。

消費電子股走低,蘇州天脈、華勤技術跌5%,勝藍股份跌4%,工業富聯跌超3%。

華金證券展望後市指出,短期延續震盪,科技和週期繼續佔優。

覆盤歷史,驅動A股牛市中的震盪結束的核心因素是政策和外部事件積極、市場情緒指標調整充分、行業輪動完成等。當前來看,A股短期可能繼續震盪,延續慢牛趨勢。行業配置:短期繼續逢低配置科技成長和週期等行業。

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