《市評》港股續跌成交三千億 中芯挫逾6% 阿里走弱
港股今日受A股拖累向下。美股道指及納指隔晚各跌0.05%及升1%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息跌至3.602%,美國10年期債券孳息跌至4.201%,美匯指數升至98.22,美國總統特朗普稱若美國在最高法院的關稅案中敗訴,或須解除與歐盟、日本及南韓等貿易協議,將令到美國遭受巨大損失。道指期貨最新跌29點或0.06%,納指期貨最新升51點或0.22%。上證綜指全日跌47點或1.3%收3,765點,深證成指跌2.8%,內地創業板指數則挫4.25%,滬深兩市成交額共2.54萬億元人民幣。
港股下跌,恆指高開145點後掉頭向下,午後曾跌330點一度低見25,013點,全日跌284點或1.1%,收25,058點;國指跌112點或1.3%,收8,937點;恆生科技指數跌104點或1.8%,收5,578點。大市全日成交總額3,022.33億元。北水交易總成交額1,470.86億元,而南向資金今日淨流入7.06億元(上日淨流入55.08億元),連續四日下降。
內地晶片股寒武紀(688256.SH)急挫14.4%收1,202元人民幣,市值回落至逾5,028億人民幣,本港上市晶片股捱沽,中芯(00981.HK)下滑6.7%收56元,成交額106.87億元,華虹半導體(01347.HK)跌5.4%。
【北水流入降 中芯阿里弱】
科技股方面,阿里(09988.HK)回吐3.2%報129.8元,騰訊(00700.HK)跌1%收592.5元,京東(09618.HK)及網易(09999.HK)各跌0.7%及1%,小米(01810.HK)走低逾2.3%收53.45元。
花旗發表報告稱,中國互聯網行業板塊今年以來累漲44.8%,驅動因素來自貿易關稅不確定性緩和,以及區域性資金流動輪動。雖然估值倍數已有一定修復,但多數中資互聯網公司相較於全球同業及中國境內其他科技/消費類個股仍具折讓。隨著阿里巴巴及騰訊展現出AI驅動的正向乘數效應,加上產業垂直領域對AI的加速採用,該行預計下半年資金將從「體驗與服務消費」板塊轉向「AI與雲計算」相關股份。而外賣與即時零售的競爭料將延續至四季度,而遊戲業務則有望受惠於新玩法與高黏性持續增長。該行行首選包括1)騰訊(目標價735港元)、阿里巴巴(美股目標價187美元、港股目標價183港元)——核心AI主題標的、2)拼多多(PDD.US)(目標價168美元)——高啤打配置、3)攜程(TCOM.US)(目標價85美元)及滿幫(YMM.US)(目標價16美元)等。
【跌股千三隻 比亞迪下滑】
港股今日市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率為17比33(上日為21比28),下跌股份1,375隻(跌幅2.8%),恆指成份股今日27隻股份上升,下跌股份56隻,升跌比率為32比66(上日32比68)。大市今日錄沽空400.79億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,745.82億元的14.596%(上日為16.407%)。
比亞迪(01211.HK)全日股價下滑3.2%收104.5元,外電引述兩位知情人士報道,比亞迪已將今年的銷量目標下調最多16%至460萬輛,顯示公司正面臨五年來最慢的年度增長。報道指,比亞迪在3月時向分析師表示,2025年的銷量目標為550萬輛。
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