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《市評》港股止連跌 南向資金淨流出逾180億 騰訊及晶片股揚
恆指連跌四日(累跌1,054點或4.1%)後今日反覆回升。美國7月非農就業人數增加7.3萬個遠低預期,市場關注美國息口走向,美股道指及納指上周五各跌1.2%及2.2%,撰文之時,美國2年期債券孳息處於3.71%,美國10年期債券孳息升至4.245%,美匯指數跌至98.86,道指期貨最新升175點或0.8%,納指期貨最新升182點或0.8%。上證綜指全日升23點或0.66%收3,583點,深證成指升0.5%,滬深兩市成交額共1.5萬億元人民幣。 恆指低開75點,初段跌135點一度低見24,372點後回升,尾市曾升240點高見24,748點,全日升225點或0.9%,收24,733點;國指升89點或1%,收8,893點;恆生科技指數升83點或1.6%,收5,481點。大市全日成交總額2,346.82億元。北水交易總成交額1,300.7億元,而南向資金今日淨流出180.92億元(上周五淨流入122.07億元),錄自5月12日(當日淨流出185.28億元)。 今年世界機器人大會將於本月8日至12日舉行,優必選(09880.HK)股價炒高10.1%,成交23.86億元。阿里巴巴(09988.HK)走低0.6%。 【恆指止連跌 騰訊有支持】 半導體股受捧,市場關注英偉達(NVDA.US)對華輸出H20晶片情況,中芯(00981.HK)及華虹半導體(01347.HK)全日股價各上揚2.9%及8.7%。騰訊(00700.HK)全日股價升2.8%報550元,旗下《無畏契約:源能行動》手遊將於8月19日上線,據內媒報道已獲得6,000萬預約。 摩根士丹利表示,騰訊旗下旗下Riot Games開發的《無畏契約》手機版是今年最重要的產品之一,市場期待已久(截至7月預註冊人數超過5,000萬)。這款遊戲的推出比市場預期早(原預期為11月),緩解了去年5月《地下城與勇士》手機版高基數的一些擔憂,該行估計其年收入將達50億至60億元人民幣。該行指《無畏契約》PC版是全球最大的PC射擊遊戲之一,日活躍用戶超過500至600萬,是全球觀看次數排名前五的電競遊戲之一,也是騰訊PC遊戲收入的關鍵貢獻者。 【升股千一隻 英諾賽科飆】 港股今日市寬向好,主板股票的升跌比率為28比20(上日為13比36),上升股份1,190隻(升幅3%),恆指成份股今日58隻股份上升,下跌股25隻,升跌比率為68比29(上日15比85)。大市今日錄沽空384.26億元,佔可沽空股份成交額2,133.99億元的18.007%。 英諾賽科(02577.HK)進入英偉達晶片供應鏈,該股全日股價抽上30.5%收75.15元,成交逾47.3億元。富瑞發表報告表示,英諾賽科加入英偉達800V直流電源供應商名單,對氮化鎵(GaN)和英諾賽科意義重大,英諾賽科作為矽解決方案的新供應商,且是名單上唯一的中國半導體公司。 英偉達的800V直流電源是一種全新架構,電壓顯著提高,該架構於2025年GTC發佈作為初步設計,旨在支持每個機架570kW的總功耗,可能用於下一代AI晶片Ruben(當前一代為Blackwell)。鑑於高功耗,英偉達提高了電源架的電壓以降低電流,從而減輕銅線的負擔(電流越高,傳輸電力所需的銅線越多)。氮化鎵在高壓AI機架中將扮演重要角色,因其具有更高的傳輸效率、更高頻率以及更小更輕的設備優勢。 該行料AI伺服器氮化鎵市場總額(TAM)的初步估計為25億美元,意味著英諾賽科上周五的股價大漲僅以5倍市盈率(PE)資本化了潛在利潤。該行同意,目前量化潛力尚早,因為800VDC架構和Ruben晶片設計尚未最終確定。該行預計量產將於2027年開始。
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