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港股收評:三大指數漲跌不一,恆指漲0.68%,創新藥概念強勢

港股三大指數收盤漲跌不一,恆生指數早盤一度衝高超1%,最終收漲0.68%,國企指數漲0.29%,恆生科技指數跌0.24%,市場情緒總體表現平穩。

盤面上,大型科技股走勢分化,大金融股部分表現活躍,內險股漲幅較爲明顯,中資券商股漲跌不一,其中友邦保險漲近5%,中國太保漲近4%;藥品類股持續上漲行情,創新藥概念股方面漲幅亮眼,與GSK達成潛在125億美元組合授權協議,恆瑞醫藥大漲24.5%且創上市新高;教育股、濠賭股、電信股、建材水泥股、手遊股多數表現活躍。另一方面,航空股跌幅居前,三大航空股均跌超3%,“反內卷”部分板塊下跌明顯,光伏股、煤炭股、鋼鐵股走低,石油股、汽車股、餐飲股普遍表現弱勢。

具體來看:

大型科技股走勢分化,阿里巴巴漲2.2%,蔚來、騰訊音樂、京東健康漲超1%,同程旅行跌超10%,商湯跌超6%。

藥品股大漲,恆瑞醫藥漲超24%,三生製藥漲超12%,順騰國際控股漲超10%,中國生物製藥、翰森製藥等跟漲。

保險股漲幅居前,雲鋒金融漲超7%,友邦保險漲超5%,中國太平、中國太保、中國平安、陽光保險等跟漲。

消息面上,7月25日,中國保險行業協會組織召開人身保險業責任準備金評估利率專家諮詢委員會2025年二季度例會,認爲當前普通型人身保險產品預定利率研究值爲1.99%。業內分析師普遍認爲,保險股估值仍有較大向上空間。

濠賭股拉昇上漲,澳博控股一度漲近12%表現搶眼,最終收漲5.84%,新濠國際發展漲超5%,金沙中國、永利澳門等跟漲。

消息上,澳門特區政府統計暨普查局24日公佈的數據顯示,2025年上半年澳門入境旅客約1921.85萬人次,按年上升14.9%。從客源來看,內地旅客達1376.78人次,按年增加19.3%;國際旅客約134.17萬人次,按年增加14.8%。

影視股震盪走低,歡喜傳媒跌超9%,中國星集團跌超8%,橙天嘉禾跌超4%,新石文化、稻草熊娛樂等跟漲。

消息面上,據網絡平臺數據,截至7月27日,2025年暑期檔電影總票房(含預售)破50億元。其中,幸福藍海主控影片《南京照相館》單日票房破1億,成爲春節後第一部單日票房破億新片。

煤炭股大跌,飛尚無煙煤跌超15%,南戈壁跌超7%,蒙古焦煤跌超6%,蒙古能源、易大宗、南南資源等跟跌。

旅遊股走低,同程旅行跌超10%,中國中免跌超5%,國家聯合資源、香港中旅等跟跌。

個股異動

華潤飲料跌超13%報11.3港元,股價創逾5個月新低,成交額11.55億港元。華潤飲料日前發盈警,預料上半年盈利將同比下跌20%-30%,低於市場預期按年增長雙位數。公司管理層在隨後的分析師和投資者會議上表示,淨利潤下降的主要原因是包裝水行業競爭加劇,要求更高的銷售與分銷(S&D)開支;產品組合的變化導致毛利率下降。

今日,南向資金淨買入92.53億港元,其中,港股通(滬)淨買入63.38億港元,港股通(深)淨買入29.15億港元。

展望後市,中銀國際研究報告指,對今年下半年港股市場展望持樂觀態度,相信中國決策層擁有較豐富的增量政策儲備工具,可有效應對中美博弈;預期下半年決策層將加力實施增量政策,充分釋放政策效應。

該行認爲,目前港股市場估值水平仍具有吸引力,預測今年底恆指可達27500點,基於12.2倍2025年預測市盈率,較過去20年曆史平均市盈率溢價5%左右。重點投資機會方面,建議重點關注供給端改革,反內卷式惡性競爭及大基建產業鏈等領域。中長期而言,建議關注以內需爲主的消費龍頭公司、低估值高息股、國產替代進程加速的自主品牌。

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