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高盛:中東危機重新確立美元與美股反向關係
阿思達克 06-26 08:48
高盛表示,中東地緣政治緊張局勢正在重新確立美元與風險資產之間的傳統關係,在過去八個交易日中,美元的走勢與標普500指數相反,這與今年較早時美國總統特朗普掀起貿易戰後,美元與風險資產形成正向關係有所不同。 高盛稱,上述變化在一定程度上反映出全球增長及風險的來源正在從美國轉向其他地區。不過,若以更長的時間來看,於兩個月來美元仍然與美國股市保持正向關係,意味著美元仍然傾向隨著全球風險情緒改善而上漲,這與美元通常作為全球投資者避險貨幣的角色有所不同。 高盛預計,美元今年的跌勢將在未來數個月進一步加劇,海外投資者增加針對美元的匯率對沖,將進一步打壓美元 。
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