郭思治:大市再創月內新高,交投亦繼續暢旺
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨天(12日)在阿里-W(09988.HK)急升帶動下,技術上又再創月內之新高,恆指昨早市先高開232點至21,562點,其後曾略爲拉鋸至21,411點,但由於沽壓並不明顯,加上買盤開始大手追捧阿里,故整個大市卒再進一步急升至21,858點方漸受規限,即此刻恆指已再創月內之新高,相對本月低位爲3日之19,764點計,月內之波幅已再擴闊至2,094點,而大市亦一直在上述波幅內拉鋸,至接近尾市時亦持續緊扣高臺,恆指最後報收21,857點,較上日升563點,全日總成交金額爲2,871億元。
拉闊一點看,大市自去年10月7日高位23,241點開始之跌浪,至今年1月13日低位18,671點止計,經過逾13周之中期跌浪後,累積之跌幅共達4,570點,而自1月13日低位18,671點開始之回升,由於恆指已成功穩企於各組平均移動線之上,即大市已擺脫反覆欲試底之弱態,其後更在動力配合之下,成功突破去年12月10日之高位21,070點及11月8日之高位21,355點,故單從技術上看,大市目前該有機會漸發展成一箇中期小升浪,以一箇中期升浪至少可運行6至8星期計,即自1月13日開始之升市,只要動力不退,該可憧憬延續至3月份之上旬,至於上升之波幅有多少,則需視乎資金之入市態度而定,值得留意的是,一日恆指仍能持續穩守於各組平均移動線之上,即表示大市仍會續處升浪之形態中,只是經過一輪急步上升後,大市於高臺需略作消化,期間亦會稍見反覆。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人,沒持有上述股票及任何相關權益)~
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