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期權大單 | 銀行股起漲,美國銀行期權成交量大增
uSMART盈立智投 01-16 17:12

一、期權異動

1月13日,美股3B家居、美國銀行、AMC等標的出現了期權成交量上的較大變化,分別爲日常成交量的8.6、2.9、1.9倍。

美國1月密歇根大學1年通脹預期初值降至4 創2021年4月份以來新低。美國1月密歇根大學1年通脹預期初值降至4%,大幅不及預期,較12月顯著回落,創2021年4月份以來新低。通脹預期的回落,提振消費者信心明顯好於預期,也較12月大幅反彈。美國1月密歇根大學消費者信心指數初值64.6,預期60.5,12月前值59.7。分項指數方面,現況指數初值68.6,預期60,12月前值59.4;預期指數初值62,預期59,前值59.9。市場備受關注的通脹預期方面,1年通脹預期初值4%,預期4.3%,12月前值4.4%;5年通脹預期初值3%,預期2.9%,12月前值2.9%。

美聯儲公佈2017年以來所有FOMC會議的記錄。美聯儲公佈了2017年以來所有FOMC會議的記錄,對此,“美聯儲傳聲筒”Nick Timiraos表示,這一舉動拉開了對當時被動縮減4.5萬億美元資產組合計劃進行審議的帷幕。2017年,美聯儲官員們試圖調和特朗普減稅政策帶來的潛在影響(當時減稅政策還未最終確定)。時任美聯儲主席耶倫當時預計,美聯儲稍微加快政策收緊的步伐將是合適的。(耶倫當時曾主張漸進加息,在失業率下降、通脹仍然較低的情況下,2017年美聯儲只三次加息了25個基點。)

耶倫:將採取特別措施避免債務違約。美國財長耶倫表示,財政部將從1月19日開始採取特殊會計策略以避免違反美國債務上限,她還敦促議員們提高債務上限。耶倫在致國會兩黨領袖的一封信中寫道:“由於各種因素,特別措施可能持續的時間存在很大不確定性,在6月初之前,現金和非常規措施不太可能被完全耗盡。”衆議院共和黨人警告說,提高債務上限必須以削減開支做交換。但民主黨和拜登拒絕這種要挾手段,希望國會直接提高債務上限,就像特朗普政府時期那樣。

二、市場概況

美東時間週五,美股三大指數集體收漲,華爾街巨頭摩根大通、美國銀行攜手發佈超預期財報,且投資者預期通脹回落將使美聯儲最早在今年下半年降息。

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