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郭思治: 大市稍作後抽 惟步伐緩慢
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨日(4日)再進一步回升,惟交投仍較淡靜,恆指昨早市先高開244點至20,011點,其後在騰訊(00700.HK),阿里-SW(09988.HK)及美團-W(03690.HK)等新經濟股反彈帶動下再進一步升至20,216點,只是由於大市氣氛仍較保守,故在動力不配下,大市升勢略受規限,即是說,大市只屬急跌後之技術性後抽,而直到目前一刻止計,本月大市之形態暫仍屬先高而後低,恆指暫是由1日之高位20,251點跌至2日之低位19,515點,即月內之波幅暫為736點,但由於一個月之高低位是不會同時出現於兩個交易日之內,加上736點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,理論上該有更大之波幅點出現,不論是升破20,251點或跌穿19,515點。 直到執筆一刻止計,大市暫仍反覆於各組常用的平均移動線之下,而各組移動線之排列由上而下暫為250天線(23,158點),50天線(21,082點),100天線(20,979點),20天線(20,592點)及10天線(20,332點),而恆指則在最下方,從技術上看,大市如欲擺脫反覆欲試底之弱態,恆指必需先成功重越10天線(20,332點)並穩守其上,否則,整個大市之弱勢未變,而所指的底,暫該為5月10日之低位19,178點。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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