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震盪市場中,QDII基金二季度投資港股有何偏好?哪些行業受青睞?

分投資區域看,二季度港股在全球資產中跑出超額收益,QDII基金港股配置比例持續大幅提升。從行業角度看,零售業、媒體與娛樂、製藥、生物科技與生命科學在Q2受QDII資金大幅度增。

2022Q2滬深港通新發基金數量同比下降41.8%至139只,其佔全部新發基金比重回落至50%,基金新發景氣持續下滑。板塊層面,Q2內地局部疫情狀況緩和、復工復產穩步推進提振港股市場表現,市場情緒亦顯著回升。

其中,受益疫後修復邏輯的大消費(汽車、社服、啤酒、紡服等),前期估值承壓的醫藥,以及監管常態化背景下的互聯網等板塊均獲機構顯著增配。而大金融(銀行、非銀)和原材料等板塊則遭機構減配。

Q2,QDII基金管理規模環比提升14.4%至3095.3億元,零售業、媒體與娛樂獲得QDII資金較大幅度增配,百度集團-SW進入重倉股前十。

2022Q2滬深港通新發基金數量持續顯著下滑,同時佔全部新發基金比重大幅下降。

2022Q2內地發行滬深港通類基金139只,環比下降42.3%,同比下降41.8%,發行數量連續兩個季度提升。2022年二季度初,港股市場表現受內地疫情擴散、海外多重風險等因素壓制;但5月起,內地疫情狀況緩和、復工復產穩步推進提振港股市場表現,港股相對全球市場取得較好的超額收益。但滬深港通新發基金景氣程度持續下滑,且其佔全部新發基金比重顯著下降至50%,接近2020年底水平。

  • 基金管理規模提升,投資者情緒回升背景下股票類資產配置比例上升。Q2滬深港通類基金管理規模有所下滑,錄得35515億元,環比上升7.72%。Q2頭部管理人排名與Q1一致,而管理規模均有所回升。

易方達基金、廣發基金、匯添富基金、富國基金和中歐基金管理規模環比分別上升4.1%/6.4%/8.8%/8.3%/8.0%至3027.8 /2079.9 /1872.8 / 1744.1/1684.8億元。股債配置比例方面,Q2滬深港通基金股票配置比例上升3.49PCTs至69.6%,債券和現金配置比例則對應下降1.99PCTs和1.35PCTs至17.5%/7.9%。

  • Q2滬深港通基金顯著增持大消費。Q2滬深港通類基金對香港股票整體重倉持股市值大幅提升27.0%至2396.1億元。內地疫情狀況有所緩解,復工復產穩步推進提振市場情緒,大消費板塊獲顯著增持。

其中,可選消費、必選消費板塊重倉持股金額分別提升77.15%和33.0%至787.0/139.8億元。細分板塊來看,無論行業景氣持續的新能源汽車及汽車板塊,還是受益疫後修復邏輯的社服、紡服、啤酒等板塊,均獲基金大幅增配。

  • 醫藥、互聯網等高成長板塊亦獲機構青睞,大金融板塊遭減配。二季度港股市場投資者情緒顯著回升,成長板塊普遍獲增配,尤其前期估值大幅回調的醫藥板塊重倉持股市值提升54.0%至184.6億元。另外,監管常態化下互聯網板塊亦受機構青睞,美團、騰訊、快手等獲顯著增配。而持續受地產拖累的大金融板塊重倉持股市值下降5.6%至208.3億元,銀行、非銀等板塊個股普遍遭減持。

QDII基金:管理規模提升14.4%,百度集團-SW獲機構青睞。

  • 截至2022Q2,QDII基金管理規模達到3095.3億元,環比增長14.4%。頭部管理人結構保持穩定,且資產管理規模均有所提升。易方達基金、華夏基金、廣發基金、博時基金、交銀施羅德基金資產管理規模環比分別提升13.3%/14.1%/41.1%/19.1%/8.5%至958.7/699.5/298.4/196.1/122.2億元。

  • 分投資區域看,二季度港股在全球資產中跑出超額收益,QDII基金港股配置比例持續大幅提升,而美股配置比例則顯著下滑。中國香港/美國/其他地區的配置比例環比2022Q1分別變化+9.1/-9.9/+0.8PCTs。

  • 從行業角度看,零售業、媒體與娛樂、製藥、生物科技與生命科學在Q2受QDII資金大幅度增持,百度集團-SW進入前十大重倉股。環比視角下,2022Q2 QDII重倉持股在零售業/媒體與娛樂/製藥、生物科技與生命科學板塊增配金額分別達到236.9/59.6/13.2億元;同時銀行/電信業務Ⅱ/技術硬件與設備板塊配置資金分別減少12.4/9.9/9.6億元。另外,百度集團在Q2獲得QDII基金青睞,重倉持股市值環比增長229.5%至26.1億元,進入前十大重倉股。

風險因素:全球新冠疫情蔓延超預期;中美關係惡化;我國宏觀經濟修復不及預期;外資持續流出中國市場。

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