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遠大醫藥(00512.HK)近期交流紀要解讀
uSMART盈立智投 12-17 16:24

總結:

1.釔90上市在即,預計明年年初。團隊職能部門和人員都配備齊全了,運營準備好了,明年會順利推進。肝癌,適用於70-80%的人無法手術切除都可以用。海外目前保守8%滲透率,估算國內滲透可以做到5.2萬臺手術量,未來國內50億銷售峯值大概。

2.研發推進情況,上半年研發投入1個多億,加上產品引進共15.3億。未來研發費用,隨着臨牀推進會增加,幅度可控。

3.集採對公司影響可控,符合預期。藥球集採確實最近給市場很大壓力,但目前國內滲透率很低只有5%,適用範圍可以去到30-40%,增量市場很大,對未來公司2款藥球產品的銷售有信心。

Q&A

Q:釔90產品的適用人羣數量,銷售峯值?明年上市增長預期?開發策略?

肝癌市場患者高,年新發40萬人,適用於70-80%的人無法手術切除都可以用。海外目前保守8%滲透率,估算國內滲透可以做到5.2萬臺手術量,未來國內50億銷售峯值大概。產品是進口形式銷售,明年先在國內有口岸的城市附近進行開發進院醫院銷售。

Q:釔90上市商業化團隊的情況?

上市在即,明年年初。團隊職能部門和人員都配備齊全了,運營準備好了,明年會順利推進。

Q:各個板塊佈局的重點,是否會單獨融資?仿製藥的定位?

創新藥聚焦3個領域,各個領域都有重磅產品,穩步推進。高端醫療器械已有2款產品上市,支持公司發展,定位全球創新,差異化競爭。仿製藥領域,發展思路爲開發規模適中、多品種的策略,會根據醫藥政策來佈局規劃首防、精品品種,滿足患者臨牀需求。未來不排除單獨資本運作的可能性。

Q:未來研發費用規劃?

根據研發推進情況,上半年研發投入1個多億,加上產品引進共15.3億。未來研發費用,隨着臨牀推進會增加,幅度可控。

Q:器械板塊本年調整很大,大家對集採擔憂很大,公司競爭力如何?

集採不可避免,引進聚焦差異化,臨牀急需有大市場的,其次關注產品競爭力。集採對公司影響可控,符合我們預期。藥球集採確實最近給市場很大壓力,但目前國內滲透率很低只有5%,適用範圍可以去到30-40%,增量市場很大,對未來我們2款藥球產品的銷售有信心。

Q:明後年收入、利潤端能否給指引?

公司收入、利潤其實這兩年超市場預期。未來肯定不會有超50%增長,運營穩定情況下,收入利潤會超過同行平均水平,這是我們目標。

Q:RDC產品研發重點?

治療、診斷產品都覆蓋,國家嚴格管控這類藥物,我們現在有先發優勢。核素和抗體耦聯的穩定性,研發重點關注藥物靶向性,脫靶率考量、核素的有效性。

Q:mRNA佈局情況?

平臺承接免疫類產品研發,可以高度拓展,目前針對腫瘤疫苗開發,未來可以針對感染領域等拓展。穩定性和遞送系統已經發展的很好,行業技術已經突破,平臺爲承接項目,國產落地爲主,未來可能引進落地開發也會有。

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